2024 AFL Grand Final First Goalscorer Tips - 2 value bets for the opening goal

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 26 Sep 2024

Ryan Tucker 26 Sep 2024

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Who will get the opener in the AFL Grand Final?
Brisbane has scored the first goal in 7 of their last 8 games
Swans allowed the first goal in most recent games

Expired

Will Charlie Cameron get the opener? (Getty)

2024 AFL Grand Final First Goalscorer

A number of players have the opportunity to kick the first goal of the game in the 2024 AFL Grand Final between Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions. But where does the value lie?

2024 AFL Grand Final First Goalscorer
First Goalscorer Trends
Team Leaders in 2024
2024 AFL Grand Final First Goalscorer Best Bets
2024 AFL Grand Final First Goalscorer Odds

A look at the trends gives us some significant pointers for our two selections. You can also get our AFL Grand Final verdict and best bets.

First Goalscorer Trends

Brisbane kicked the first goal in two of their three finals games with Cam Rayner and Charlie Cameron getting the honours in those games.

Charlie was also first goalscorer in two of the last five regular season matchups where the Lions went five from five as first goalscorers of the match.

Sydney allowed their opposition to score the first goal in both of their finals games. Even in the last five regular season games the Swans were only able to score the first goal on two occasions.

Joe Daniher sits at 15th on the all time First Goalscorers list and is fourth among active players kicking the first goal in 23 games during his career.

Team Leaders in 2024

Joel Amarty leads the Sydney Swans goalkicking list this season with 39 goals and 24 behinds.

Joe Daniher leads the goalscoring tally for the Lions this season with 50 goals and 44 behinds. Charlie Cameron held that title in each of the previous five years.

2024 AFL Grand Final First Goalscorer Best Bets

Charlie Cameron $13.00

Charlie has kicked the first goal in 3 of the last 8 games which is an amazing stat for this market. He will be looking to stamp his mark on this game early with Sydney often allowing their opponent to score the first major.

Joe Daniher $10.00

Daniher has the pedigree for scoring first over his career with 23 goals being registered as first on the score sheet. He is one of the most experienced Lions players and there is no doubt he is integral in the Chris Fagan game plan centred on getting out to an early lead.

2024 AFL Grand Final First Goalscorer Odds

Player	Odds
Joe Daniher	$10.00
Tom Papley	$12.00
Joel Amartey	$12.00
Charlie Cameron	$13.00
Logan McDonald	$13.00
Will Hayward	$13.00
Chad Warner	$15.00
Isaac Heeney	$15.00
Eric Hipwood	$15.00
Rest of field	$16.00 or more

All odds from Playup and correct as of 25/09/24

Verdict

Sydney v Brisbane

With the Swans allowing their opponents to score the first goal regularly and the Lions having taken the first major in seven of their last eight games, I'm backing Brisbane's two key men.

Charlie Cameron

First Goalscorer

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Joe Daniher

First Goalscorer

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