Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Tips & Preview - Pies to cover the line in Easter clash at the Gabba
- Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 6 AFL game
- Collingwood come off a strong victory despite missing key players
- Pies to cover the line, with total points likely staying under 174.5
- Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Preview
- Head to Head
- Brisbane Lions Form
- Brisbane Lions Team News
- Collingwood Magpies Form
- Collingwood Magpies Team News
Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Preview
Collingwood were impressive winners over Sydney last week and can give premiers Brisbane Lions a close match on Thursday. The Pies are value to cover the line with a +13.5 start.
- Brisbane have covered the line just once in 2025
- Collingwood have won the past three matches between the two sides
- Bobby Hill has kicked seven goals from his past three matches against Brisbane
- The Magpies rank in the top three for conceding the fewest inside 50s and points against
Head to Head
Collingwood have won the past three matches between the two sides, including the 2023 Grand Final, as well as the corresponding Easter Thursday match at the GABBA last season by 20 points.
Nick Daicos has averaged 28 disposals in those games. Josh Dunkley picked up 25+ in the two matches last season for Brisbane.
Bobby Hill has kicked seven from his past three against Brisbane. The Lions have won four of the past five between the two sides at the GABBA.
Brisbane Lions Form
Brisbane have exerted dominance in the second halves of their matches this season and overcame a 39-point deficit early in the third term against the Bulldogs last weekend to win by 21.
They have an abundance of guns that can roll through the midfield. Lachie Neale, Will Ashcroft, Hugh McLuggage, Josh Dunkely and Dayne Zorko are all averaging 25+ disposals this season. The Lions top the competition for clearances and are 3rd for contested disposals.
In the absence of Joe Daniher, Eric Hipwood, Logan Morris and Zac Bailey are all going at 2+ goals per game this season. That trio combined for 12 goals in the win over the Dogs last weekend.
Brisbane Lions Team News
Kai Lohmann is a chance to return for the Lions. Tom Doedee remains on the fringe after coming back to the lower level from his knee injury.
Collingwood Magpies Form
After an Opening Round shocker against GWS, Collingwood have responded with four strong victories. They have been against finalists from last year and have been built around pressure at the contest with the Pies ranking 3rd for tackles.
This has translated to inside 50s, ranking 4th, providing opportunities for the likes of Jamie Elliott and Bobby Hill, who have both kicked eight goals from five matches. Dan McStay, Tim Membrey and the injured Lachie Schultz are also going at 1+ goal per game.
At the other end of the ground, the Magpies are conceding the 3rd fewest inside 50s and rank 2nd for goals conceded.
The Daicos brothers continue to have an influence in the middle and are averaging 25+ disposals, while the former Hawk, Ned Long, has cemented his spot in the side and comes off 29 last weekend.
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Jordan de Goey is a chance to return after missing the win over Sydney with an inflamed achilles. Lachie Schultz remains on the sidelines and Dan Houston won’t return until Round 7.
Verdict
Collingwood are backed to restrict Brisbane and cover the line. Bobby Hill can continue good form against the Lions.
Collingwood +13.5
Handicap
@17/20 - 3 Units
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Under 174.5
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