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Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers Predictions & Tips - Lions to edge crucial game

  • Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers predictions for Saturday's AFL Round 5 match
  • The match is being played at the Gabba (10.25am BST)
  • Both clubs have started the season with 1-3 records
  • Brisbane were comprehensive winners last year but are tipped for a 1-39 point victory
  • Match preview, predictions and latest team news
brisbane lions essendon
Essendon Bombers and the Brisbane Lions have both lost 3 of their 4 matches (Getty Images)
Freetips staff 16 Apr 2021
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Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers Predictions

Both sides have won just once this season and face a crucial game. The Lions need to regain composure and reconvince the AFL community that they are a real contender in 2021. 

It is a big ask to do it against an unpredictable Bombers side, but a Brisbane win is favoured with home advantage at the Gabba. 

  • Both clubs have started the season with 1-3 records.
  • Brisbane Lions won last year's match against Essendon Bombers 91-28.

Head to Head

Brisbane Lions dominated last year's match against Essendon 91-28 at Metricon Stadium, but the Bombers are on a four-game winning streak at the Gabba. 

Brisbane Lions Form

Brisbane are in a sticky position with a 1-3 record to begin this premiership season, with the Lions concerningly sitting on the bottom of the competition in disposals per game. 

The Lions were defeated 73-54 by the top of the ladder Western Bulldogs last weekend and have tumbled to 16th on the ladder. 

This will be the Lions' first game back at home since their humiliating 125-94 defeat to the Sydney Swans back in Round 1. 

They have also lost to Geelong Cats by a point and defeat Collingwood with the last kick of the game.

Brisbane Lions Team News

Forward Dan McStay comes straight into the lineup overcoming a knee injury this week. 

Joe Daniher is certain to play against his former side for the first time on Saturday. 

Brisbane Lions Team List

B: D.Rich, H.Andrews, C.Ah Chee
HB: D.Gardiner, M.Adams, G.Birchall
C: H.McCluggage, D.Zorko, M.Robinson
HF: Z.Bailey, J.Daniher, L.McCarthy
F: D.McStay, E.Hipwood, C.Cameron
FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Lyons, L.Neale
I/C: J.Berry, J.Prior, R.Lester, B.Starcevich
EMG: D.Robertson, E.Smith, T.Berry, T.Fullarton

Essendon Bombers Form

Essendon Bombers lost to the undefeated Sydney Swans by three points away from home last weekend.

Like the Lions, the Bombers also sit on 1-3 this season but are in 12th position on the ladder.

Midfield jet Zach Merrett has begun the season strong averaging 30 disposals, and we could see plenty of action between him and 2020 Brownlow Medalist Lachie Neale on Saturday. 

The Bombers are a top five team in goals scored per game with Cale Hooker leading the team with 12 majors to his name so far. 

Essendon Bombers Team News

Mason Redman comes back into the lineup after suffering through hamstring tightness.

David Zaharakis is close to regaining his final 22 spot in the side as he was a medical sub last match, but will have to make do with a place amongst the emergencies again.

Rookie Zach Reid is handed a debut in the Essendon defence.

Essendon Bombers Team List

B: J.Laverde, Z.Reid, A.Francis
HB: M.Redman, J.Ridley, D.Heppell
C: Z.Merrett, K.Langford, D.Smith
HF: A.Waterman, H.Jones, W.Snelling
F: A.Perkins, C.Hooker, A.McDonald-Tipungwuti
FOLL: N.Cox, A.McGrath, B.Ham
I/C: N.Hind, D.Parish, P.Wright, J.Stringer
EMG: M.Guelfi, N.Cahill, A.Phillips, D.Zaharakis

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This is an intriguing matchup as both sides could fall to losing four of their first five games, and could already be out of finals contention this early in the season. The Lions are favoured to win at home and are still the safe bet.

Best Bet: Lions by 1-39 Winning Margin @100.00 at BetMGM - 2 Units

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