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Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats Predictions & Tips - Geelong value to win in Lions' den

  • Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats predictions for Thursday's AFL Round 15 match
  • The match is being played at the Gabba (10.20am BST)
  • Geelong have won 11 of their last 12 matches against Brisbane
  • The Cats have covered the line in 10 of the last 11 matches against the Lions and tipped to do so again
  • Match preview, predictions and latest team news
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Geelong Cats are value to beat the Brisbane Lions (Getty Images)
Gary Emmerson 23 Jun 2021
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Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats Predictions


The Cats are value as outsiders as they look to continue a strong head to head record against the Lions. Geelong with a +5.5 start is the best bet. 

  • Brisbane Lions have won 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • Geelong Cats have won 11 of their last 12 matches against Brisbane Lions.
  • Geelong Cats won 82-42 against Brisbane Lions at the Gabba last season.
  • Geelong Cats have covered the line in 10 of the last 11 matches against Brisbane Lions.
  • Geelong Cats have won their last 6 matches.

Head to Head


Geelong have had the wood over Brisbane with 11 wins in the last 12 clashes between the sides. They have now won 21 of the last 24.

It was a controversial 81-80 victory for the Cats in Round 2, but it made it three straight wins for Geelong.

The Cats won 73-46 in the home and away season in 2020. They then dumped the Lions out of the finals with an 82-42 preliminary final success at the Gabba.

Brisbane Lions Form


Brisbane weren't at their best last week, but still brought up an eighth win in the last nine matches with victory over bottom side North Melbourne.

The Lions were in a game for much of the contest at Blundstone Arena before eventually clearing away for a 68-45 victory over the Roos. 

It was a welcome return to winning ways for Chris Fagan's side, who lost their top of the ladder clash with Melbourne Demons before the bye.

Brisbane led by 20 points at half time against the Dees, only for Melbourne to run away with it in the last quarter.

Brisbane Lions Team News


The Lions have Dayne Zorko back after he served a one-game ban against North Melbourne. 

Zorko replaces Rhys Mathieson, who drops to the emergencies.

Ryan Lester remains sidelined with injury, so James Madden keeps his place. 

Jarrod Berry is expected back in the VFL this week as he comes back from a calf injury.

Brisbane Lions Team List


B: C. Ah Chee, H. Andrews, B. Starcevich
HB: D. Rich, M. Adams, G. Birchall
C: Z. Bailey, L. Neale, H. McCluggage
HF: D. Zorko J. Daniher, L. McCarthy
F: D. McStay, E. Hipwood, C. Cameron
FOLL: O. McInerney, J. Lyons, M. Robinson
I/C: D. Robertson, K. Coleman, J. Prior, J. Madden
EMG: T. Berry, R. Mathieson, C. Ballenden, J. Payne

Geelong Cats Form


Geelong made it six wins in a row as a Gary Rohan goal after the siren sealed a 83-78 win over Western Bulldogs last week.

The Cats have efficiently moved themselves into the top three, a win behind the ladder leading Melbourne Demons.

The six-match winning run includes victories over fellow top eight sides Richmond Tigers, Port Adelaide and the Bulldogs.

Geelong Cats Team News


Mitch Duncan is ruled out until September with a knee injury. 

Lachie Henderson was a late withdrawal last week but he takes his place at the Gabba. Quinton Narkle is left out.

Gryan Miers made his return to VFL action last week and has been listed among the emergencies.

Geelong Cats Team List


B: T. Atkins, L. Henderson, J. Henry
HB: Z. Tuohy, T. Stewart, J. Kolodjashnij
C: I. Smith, C. Guthrie, S. Menegola
HF: L. Dahlhaus, J. Cameron, B. Parfitt
F: P. Dangerfield, T. Hawkins, G. Rohan
FOLL: M. Blicavs, C. Guthrie, J. Selwood - C
I/C: J. Bews, E. Ratugolea, S. Higgins, B. Close
EMG: G. Miers, Q. Narkle, Z. Guthrie, R. Stanley

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Verdict

The Cats have an enviable record in this match up and are value to win as outsiders. With a 6.5-point start, Geelong to cover the line is the best bet.

Best Bet: Geelong +5.5 Handicap Line @-111.11 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Geelong Win Match Result @120.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units

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