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Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns Predictions & Tips - Suns to push Lions all the way in AFL Semi Final

adam-cusworth
Adam Cusworth
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Last updated: Wed 10 Sep 2025 21:00
The upcoming semi-final between the Brisbane Lions and the Gold Coast Suns is shaping up as the most exciting Q-Clash yet. Gold Coast defeated Brisbane by 66 points in their last matchup and have momentum from their first finals campaign. The Lions, missing Lachie Neale and Eric Hipwood due to injuries, still present strong disposal and clearance stats. Key players to watch include Cam Rayner (Lions) and Noah Anderson (Suns). Expect a tight contest with Gold Coast expected to keep it close and possibly cover the betting line.
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Adam Cusworth 10 Sep 2025
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  • Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns expert predictions for Saturday’s Semi Final AFL game
  • Gold Coast beat Brisbane by 66 points last meeting
  • Suns to carry momentum from recent wins and first finals campaign
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anderson gold coast suns
Gold Coast Suns can take it to the Brsibane Lions (Getty Images)
  • Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Brisbane Lions Form
  • Brisbane Lions Team News
  • Gold Coast Suns Form
  • Gold Coast Suns Team News

Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns Preview


In what is the biggest Q-Clash yet, Gold Coast can push reigning premiers Brisbane Lions all the way on Saturday. The Suns have momemtum if their first finals campaign and can cover the line and set up a thrilling finish.

  • Gold Coast were 66 point winners the last time the two sides met. 
  • Three of the past four Semi Finals have gone under the total points.
  • Cam Rayner has kicked 2+ goals in five of his past six matches.
  • Noah Anderson has had 30+ disposals in four of his past six matches and had 33 disposals the last time the two sides met

Head to Head 


Gold Coast were 66 point winners the last time the two sides met, which was as recently as Round 20 this season.

Brisbane were 17-point winners at the Gabba earlier this season and have won the past seven between the two sides at the venue. 

Brisbane Lions Form


Brisbane headed into the finals series on teh back of winning seven of nine matches wiht the last two of those coming against Fremantle and Hawthorn. Over the course of the season, they have a 7-5 record against sides in the top eight. 

In the five rounds heading into finals, the Lions ranked in the top three in the competition for disposals, clearances and inside 50s. They led the disposals count against the Cats but conceeded 60 inside 50s to 47 in the 11.8 to 16.16 scoreline. 

Finishing off has been a slight issue, with the Lions ranking 13th for goals per inside 50 and kicked 11.23 Hawthorn in Round 24 before improving their accuracy from fewer opportunities against the Cats. 

Brisbane Lions Team News


Lachie Neale’s season is done after the two-time Brownlow Medal winner re-injured his troublesome calf. 

Fellow premiership player Eric Hipwood won’t be back until next season after scans revealed a partial tear to his ACL in his knee. Bruce Reville and James Tunstill are among a couple that could come in. 

Gold Coast Suns Form


It took until the final home and away match of the season for the Suns to stitch up a finals spot after they dropped games to GWS and Port Adelaide before rebounding against the Bombers. 

They took that winning form into finals with their win over Fremantle and now have a 5-6 win-loss record against sides in the eight in 2025.  

The All-Australian duo of Matt Rowell (34 disposals) and Noah Anderson (32) were instrumental in the win over the Dockers. 

The Suns ranked 4th for clearances in the last 10 rounds of the home and away season and 3rd for inside 50s. They were beaten in these two measures by the Dockers but were efficient when heading in with Bailey Humphrey setting up the win with three goals.

Gold Coast Suns Team News


Gold Coast are unlikely to make too many changes. David Swallow started as the sub last week before coming on and producing his match-winning cameo. It would be a tough call to leave the veteran out. 

Will Graham is edging closer to a return from injury, while Nick Holman is among another that will be itching to find his way into the 23. 

Verdict

Gold Coast Suns can keep this close with Anderson and Rainer looming large for their respective sides in a tight match.

Best Bet1: Gold Coast Suns +9.5 Handicap -9.5 @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Total Points Under Total Points O/U 168.5 @7/8 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Noah Anderson To Have 30+ disposals @11/10 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Cam Rayner To Score 2+ goals @7/9 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
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