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Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers Preview & Tips - Lions to roar in Gabba showdown

Ryan Tucker

Editor

Last updated: 17 May 2024

Ryan Tucker 17 May 2024

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Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
Lions favored to win due to Tigers' injuries
Low-scoring game expected with predicted total under 170.5 points

Expired

Lachie Neale of the Lions (Getty Images)

Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers Preview

Brisbane aren't in the best of form, but Richmond are hit by injuries. The Lions can take advantage and win comfortably at the Gabba.

Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers Preview
Head to Head
Brisbane Lions Form
Brisbane Lions Team News
Brisbane Lions Team List
Richmond Tigers Form
Richmond Tigers Team News
Richmond Tigers Team List

Richmond are averaging only 44 points over their last 3 games
The Lions have scored over 90 points only once so far this year
6 straight games have gone Over the Game Total indicating an ideal opportunity to take the Under
Brisbane average the most Kicks of any team in the AFL at 232.6 per game, Richmond average the least at 197.4 per game

Head to Head

Brisbane and Richmond have met in six regular season games and three finals games since the beginning of the 2019 season.

The Tigers hold a 5-4 lead in the head to head across all games but it is the Lions with the most recent success having won four of the last six games including finals matchups in 2022 and 2020.

The lone game played last season was also a win to Brisbane with a 134-53 scoreline.

Brisbane Lions Form

The Lions were part of the second draw this season playing out a 90-all stalemate with Adelaide last weekend at the Adelaide Oval.

It was a game though that Brisbane let slip from their grasp with the Crows booting 4 Goals to 1 in the 4th quarter to snatch the draw.

Brisbane had a better Efficiency Rate Inside 50 compared to their season average and also dominated Possession in the match but could not convert their dominance into points on the scoreboard.

Brisbane Lions Team News

Noah Answerth has been sidelined with concussion but will prove his fitness to be up for selection in this one.

Deven Robertson is also expected to play following a shoulder injury. Zach Bailey and Carter Michael are still about a week away.

Brisbane Lions Team List

B: D.Zorko, J.Payne, R.Lester

HB: D.Wilmot, H.Andrews, C.McKenna

C: J.Fletcher, C.Rayner, J.Berry

HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, H.McCluggage

F: L.Morris, J.Daniher, C.Ah Chee

FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale - C

I/C: K.Lohmann, H.Sharp, S.Brain, B.Reville, N.Answerth

EMG: J.Prior, D.Fort, D.Joyce

IN: N.Answerth

OUT: J.Prior (Omitted)

Richmond Tigers Form

It is just a bad year for Richmond, they have one win on the season - given it was against the league leading Swans but the rest of the games have been tough.

Six of their eight losses have been by between 30 and 91 points with the playing group essentially giving up in games late that they are no chance of winning.

Their last outing against the Bulldogs saw the Tigers have only 3 Marks Inside 50 and only 4 Contested Marks for the entire game.

Richmond Tigers Team News

The Tigers injury list is long. Mo Rioli is looking at 8-10 weeks following a bad ankle injury sustained in the loss to the Bulldogs last weekend.

A host of players will become available over the next few weeks including Sam Banks, Seth Campbell, Jack Graham, Jacob Hopper and James Trezise.

Richmond are hopeful Dylan Grimes and Liam Baker will pass fitness tests and play this weekend.

Richmond Tigers Team List

B: B.Miller, N.Broad, T.Young

HB: N.Vlastuin, T.Brown, D.Rioli

C: H.Ralphsmith, M.Pickett, K.McIntosh

HF: R.Mansell, S.Bolton, T.Sonsie

F: M.Lefau, D.Martin, N.Balta

FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, D.Prestia, T.Dow

I/C: J.Short, S.Green, K.McAuliffe, M.Coulthard, N.Cumberland

EMG: K.Smith, J.Koschitzke, S.Ryan

IN: K.McIntosh, S.Green, K.McAuliffe, M.Coulthard

OUT: S.Banks (Injured), M.Rioli (Injured), J.Graham (Injured), S.Campbell (Injured)

Verdict

Brisbane v Richmond

Brisbane are still not hitting their straps like last year, but they should win this. It might be a low-scoring game.

Brisbane 1-39

Winning Margin

@8/5 - 2 Units

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Under 170.5

Game Total

@9/10 - 2 Units

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