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Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Tips & Predictions - Lions to give top 8 hopes a boost with home win

Last updated: 13 Jun 2024
Jeremy Darke 13 Jun 2024
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  • Brisbane vs St Kilda expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
  • Brisbane Lions have won their last 3 games against the Saints at the Gabba
  • St Kilda tough to score against
  • Brisbane Lions favored for 1-39 point victory at home
Lachie Neale
Lachie Neale (Getty Images)

Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Preview

St Kilda have been difficult to score heavy points against this year, so the value is to back Brisbane Lions for a 1-39 point victory at home. 
  • Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Brisbane Lions Form 
  • Brisbane Lions Team News
  • St Kilda Form
  • St Kilda Team News

  • Brisbane have won their last 3 games against the Saints at the Gabba. 
  • The Saints have won just 2 of 8 away games this season
  • Lachie Neale is averaging 32.4 disposals in his last 5 matches. 
  • St Kilda’s opposition key followers have averaged over 30 disposals in their past three matches.

Head to Head 

Brisbane have had a stranglehold over St Kilda over the past five seasons, winning six of their past seven games against the Saints, with their only blemish at Metricon during Covid. 

The Lions and Saints faced each other twice last season with Brisbane claiming 28 and 12 point victories in rounds 15 and 24.

Brisbane Lions Form 

Against all the odds, Brisbane are starting to find their feet and are showing how well they sit as a club with a flurry of development players coming in this season and filling the boots of their injured stars. 

Despite a loss to their hoodoo Hawks, Brisbane have gone undefeated in 4 of their past 5 games with three wins and a draw. The Lions have been stable at the back with the young defensive core doing everything right for them. 

The return of Brandon Starcevich against the Bulldogs last week gave the Lions the experience in the backline to defeat the Western Bulldogs 114-71.

Lachie Neal was back to his spectacular best with 2 goals and a game-high 38 disposals which set the returning Eric Hipwood free to kick 6 goals and 2 behinds.

Brisbane Lions Team News

Brisbane's injury list is diminishing as much as it can besides their four season-ending knee injuries.
No news is good news for the Lions right now. 

St Kilda Form

St Kilda were like a boa constrictor and the Gold Coast Suns last weekend, strangling the suns and forcing them into wrong decision down the outside keeping possession in their forward half of the field for long periods in their 51-48 victory.

The Saints have now put together two strong performances in consecutive weeks that has salvaged their season which looked to be falling apart a month ago after just one win from their last 7 games. 

The Saints have conceded just 75.61 points per game which is the third-least of any side in the AFL. 

Their suffocating game plan has proven tough for their opponents to score, however, St Kilda need to find ways to move the ball forward and improve their percentage which is the fifth-worst in the AFL and why they sit in 14th on the ladder. 

St Kilda Team News

Dougal Howard suffered a hamstring strain and will be sidelined for the next month. 


Brisbane will overcome the tight defence of the Saints and get a 1-39 win with Lachie Neale getting 30+ disposals.

Best Bet1: Brisbane Lions 1-39 Winning Margin @29/25 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Lachie Neale 30+ Disposals @13/14 at Betgoodwin - 1 Unit
Brisbane Lions
1-39 Winning Margin
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Lachie Neale
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