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Carlton vs Collingwood Predictions & Tips - Pies to edge out Blues again

  • Carlton vs Collingwood predictions for Thursday's AFL Round 2 match
  • The match is being played at the MCG (8.20am GMT)
  • Collingwood have won the last 4 matches against Carlton
  • The Pies are tipped to win a low-scoring affair
  • Match preview, predictions and latest team news
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Collingwood have won their last 4 matches against Carlton (Getty Images)
Gary Emmerson 24 Mar 2021
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Carlton vs Collingwood Predictions

Collingwood have dominated Carlton of late, and that can't be ignored. Both sides made losing starts to the season, and it is the Blues who are tipped to go 0-2 having struggled in night games at the MCG.

Brody Mihocek is a reliable source of goals for the Pies and can register more.

  • Carlton have lost 20 their last 21 night matches at the MCG.
  • Carlton have seen 8 of the last 10 matches against Collingwood at the MCG gone under the total match points line.
  • Collingwood have won the last 4 matches against Carlton.
  • Collingwood have covered the line in 5 of its last 6 night matches against Carlton.
  • Collingwood's Brody Mihocek has kicked 2+ goals in each of Collingwood's last 4 matches.


Collingwood have won the last four clashes with Carlton (five including the pre-season Community Series in 2019), and eight of the last 10 meetings.

The Pies won the only meeting last season when defeating the Blues 72-48 in Round 14. Collingwood trailed 44-36 at half-time, but limited Carlton to just four points in the second half.

Carlton Form

Carlton were better than the 25-point defeat suffered at the hands of premiers Richmond Tigers last Thursday in the season-opener.

The Blues, led by the impressive Sam Walsh who collected 31 disposals, trailed by just eight points at three quarter time having pushed the Tigers all the way. 

But they were unable to see the job through as they lost 105-80.

Carlton were well beaten by St Kilda as they went down 125-99, but will be buoyed by their performance against Richmond.

The Blues missed out a first finals appearance since 2013 when they finished 10th after a disappointing end to the 2020 season.

Carlton Team News

Zac Williams is named for his Carlton debut. The former GWS Giants star missed the opening round through suspension.

Jack Martin also return to the forward line after missing Round 1. Mitch McGovern is not risked, while Eddie Betts is among the emergencies.

Jack Silvagni is ruled out, while Lochie O’Brien is omitted.

Carlton Team List

B: L.Plowman, L.Jones, T.Williamson
HB: S.Docherty, J.Weitering, A.Saad
C: W.Setterfield, P.Cripps, E.Curnow
HF: P.Dow, L.Casboult, M.Murphy
F: M.Gibbons, H.McKay, J.Martin
FOLL: M.Pittonet, S.Walsh, Z.Williams
I/C: S.Petrevski-Seton, J.Newnes, L.Fogarty, Z.Fisher
EMG: O.McDonald, E.Betts, L.O’Brien, M.Kennedy

Collingwood Form

Collingwood went down by 16 points in a 69-53 defeat to the highly-rated Western Bulldogs on Friday in Round 1.

It was a below-par performance from the Pies, who struggled defensively and had Darcy Moore to thank for some heroics down back.

The Mapies were off the pace in both disposals and inside 50 count, but big things are expected of the Bulldogs this season and the proved that talent.

Collingwood Team News

Collingwood welcome back Steele Sidebottom from injury after he missed Round 1. 

Callum Brown has also been named by the Pies with Oliver Henry and Trey Ruscoe dropping out. 

Collingwood Team List

B: B.Maynard, J.Roughead, J.Madgen
HB: J.Crisp, D.Moore, J.Howe
C: J.Noble, S.Pendlebury, T.Brown
HF: J.Elliott, B.Mihocek, J.De Goey
F: J.Daicos, M.Cox, J.Thomas
FOLL: B.Grundy, T.Adams, S.Sidebottom
I/C: W.Hoskin-Elliott, I.Quaynor, C.Brown, B.Sier
EMG: T.Ruscoe, D.Cameron, O.Henry, N.Murphy

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While Carlton made more of an impression than Collingwood did in Round 1, the Pies have dominated this match up. Unders delivers in the clash in night matches, while Brody Mihocek can continue his goalscoring form.

Best Bet: Collingwood Win Match Result @-121.95 at Unibet - 2 Units
Value Bet: Under 164.5 Total Points @-109.89 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit
First Goalscorer Tip: Brody Mihocek First Goalscorer @750.00 at Borgata Sports - 1 Unit

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