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Collingwood vs Adelaide Crows Tips & Preview - Crows to cover with big handicap start in AFL

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 17 May 2024
Jeremy Darke 17 May 2024
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  • Collingwood vs Adelaide Crows predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • Crows to cover a +21.5-point line vs Collingwood
  • Izak Rankine poised to score 2 or more goals
Expired
Izak Rankine
Izak Rankine having a career-best year (Getty Images)

Collingwood vs Adelaide Crows Tips


Adelaide Crows have been given a +21.5-point line and they can cover that having had some close matchups with Collingwood in recent seasons. The Crows can also score over 73.5 points set as their team total.
  • Collingwood vs Adelaide Crows Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Collingwood Form
  • Collingwood Team News
  • Collingwood Team List
  • Adelaide Crows Form
  • Adelaide Crows Team News
  • Adelaide Crows Team List

  • 4 of the last 5 matches have seen a winning margin of 5 points or less between Collingwood and Adelaide. 
  • Adelaide have kicked over 73.5 points in their past 5 matches.
  • Collingwood have allowed their opposition to kick 72 points or more in 8 of 9 games this season.
  • Izak Rankine has kicked 3 or more goals in 4 of his past 5 matches for the Crows.

Head to Head 


Collingwood have won their last eight games against Adelaide, including both fixtures last season. 

The Pies had a one-point victory over the Crows in round 7 and a two-point win in round 15. 

Collingwood have beaten Adelaide by five points or less in four of their past five matches over the last two seasons.

Collingwood Form


Since losing their opening three games of the season, Collingwood have now gone undefeated in their last six game with a slight blemish of a draw against Essendon. 

The Magpies mustered a 66-point win over West Coast in Round 9, which may not be a feat in itself, however, holding the Eagles to their second-lowest score of the year is something that Craig McRae was happy about. 

The black and white stripes also put up their second-biggest total of the year in their 103-37 win over West Coast. 

Collingwood Team News


Jeremy Howe (groin), Jamie Elliet (Vascular) and Aiden Begg (Knee) are the three newest names to the long list of injuries for Collingwood.

Jordan De Goey and Tom Mitchell will be tests later in the week which would boost the Pies immensely. 

Collingwood Team List


B: B.Maynard, D.Moore - C, B.Frampton
HB: I.Quaynor, O.Markov, W.Hoskin-Elliott
C: S.Sidebottom, S.Pendlebury, J.Daicos
HF: P.Lipinski, N.Daicos, R.McInnes
F: F.Macrae, B.Hill, L.Schultz
FOLL: D.Cameron, J.Crisp, J.De Goey

I/C: J.Noble, J.Richards, L.Sullivan, H.Harrison, M.Cox
EMG: N.Kreuger, E.Allan, C.Dean

IN: L.Schultz, J.De Goey
OUT: J.Howe (Injured), J.Bytel (Injured)

Adelaide Crows Form


To be honest, I expected a bit more from the Crows against a lame Lions team last weekend with their match against Brisbane ending in a 90-90 draw with the lead changing thirteen times.

The Crows went over their expected Team Total which was predicted but by only 3.5 points against the Lions who were playing just 2 of their six starting defenders. 

The positive for the Crows is definitely the 2024 form of Izak Rankine who has been heavily involved in the forward line having a career-best year statistically topping his numbers in average goals, disposals, tackles and clearances.

Adelaide Crows Team News


Josh Worrell will miss up to 12 weeks with a fractured left arm after having surgery on Monday.

Riley Thilthorpe is progressing nicely with his knee injury and is predicted to return within the next two months.

Adelaide Crows Team List


B: B.Smith, J.Butts, C.Jones
HB: L.Nankervis, M.Keane, M.Michalanney
C: M.Hinge, J.Soligo, J.Dawson - C
HF: L.Sholl, T.Walker, J.Rachele
F: E.Himmelberg, D.Fogarty, I.Rankine
FOLL: R.O’Brien, R.Laird, B.Keays

I/C: M.Crouch, N.McHenry, L.Murphy, B.Cook, W.Hamill
EMG: C.Burgess, S.Berry, J.Borlase

IN: L.Murphy, W.Hamill
OUT: J.Worrell (Injured), D.Curtin (Omitted)

Verdict

The Crows can kick more than 73.5 points and cover the 21.5 points as the underdog with Izak Rankine kicking 2 or more goals.

Best Bet1: Adelaide +21.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Adelaide Over 73.5 Team Total @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Izak Rankine 2+ Goals @4/5 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Adelaide +21.5
Handicap/Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Bet at bet365
Adelaide Over 73.5
Team Total
@10/11 - 2 Units
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