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Collingwood vs Carlton Predictions & Tips - Blues to edge to victory over Pies

  • Collingwood vs Carlton tips for Sunday's AFL Round 18 match
  • The match is being played at the MCG (6.20am BST)
  • Every Collingwood match has been decided by 1-39 points this season
  • The Blues are tipped to win a tight game
  • Match preview, predictions and latest team news
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Carlton and Collingwood clash at the MCG (Getty Images)
Freetips staff 16 Jul 2021
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Collingwood vs Carlton Predictions


Carlton should be too strong for Collingwood at the MCG on Sunday and claim a rare win over the Pies. 

With every Collingwood match this season being decided by the 1-39-point margin and Carlton desperate to keep in touch with the eight, the Blues are tipped to win a close match. 

  • Carlton forward Harry McKay has kicked 48 goals from 16 matches this season.
  • Collingwood have both won the last 5 matches against Carlton. 
  • Collingwood have lost each of its last 6 matches at the MCG.
  • Every Collingwood match has been decided by 1-39 points this season. 

Head to Head


Collingwood have won the last five matches against Carlton, including when the Pies won by 19 points in Round 2 this season.

The last time Carlton defeated Collingwood was Round 7 in 2017, by 23 points.

Collingwood Form


Collingwood were outstanding the last quarter against Richmond, kicking seven goals to one to steal the victory despite the Tigers being 24 points up. 

Jamie Elliot (3 goals) and Jordan De Goey (29 disposals, 1 goal) was crucial, while Jack Crisp and Taylor Adams were huge in the last term, both gathering over 30 disposals. 

Since defeating Melbourne Demons on the annual Queen’s Birthday clash in round 13, the Pies have lost to Fremantle by 12 points and St Kilda by nine points. 

Collingwood have a 5-11 record heading into round 18 placing them 15th on the AFL ladder. 

Collingwood Team News


Will Kelly is sidelined with a quad injury. Otherwise the Pies are unchanged from last week.

Collingwood Team List


B: Quaynor, Roughead, Maynard
HB: Crisp, Madgen, Mayne
C: Hoskin-Elliott, De Goey, Mayne
HF: Bianco, Cameron, Thomas
F: Sidebottom, Mihocek, Elliott
FOLL: Grundy, Pendlebury, Adams
I/C: Brown, Ruscoe, Murphy, Henry
EMG: Cox, Ginnivan, Poulter, Wilson

Carlton Form


Carlton lost to Geelong in last round with their inefficiency in front of goal coming back to haunt them. Sam Walsh continued his great form with 36 disposals and two goals. 

In Round 16 Carlton defeated Fremantle at the MCG by 16 points with Harry McKay having a major say on the result with three goals. 

The previous week, Carlton secured a 10-point victory over Adelaide at Marvel Stadium. Eddie Betts found some form with three goals and Zac Williams (26 disposals, 1 goal) played his best game for the Blues. 

Carlton are currently sitting 13th on the AFL ladder, with 6 wins and 10 losses after 17 rounds of the 2021 AFL season. 

Carlton Team News


The Blues have been dealt a blow with Patrick Cripps ruled out injured.

Will Setterfield is left out, while Lachie Fogarty is managed.

Liam Jones and Zach Fisher are the two replacements.

Carlton Team List


B: Stocker, Jones, Plowman
HB: Saad, Weitering, Williams
C: Petrevski-Seton, Walsh, Newnes
HF: E.Curnow, Martin, Silvagni
F: Owies, McKay, Betts
FOLL: De Koning, Dow, Kennedy
I/C: Williamson, Cottrell, Fisher, Newman
EMG: Honey, Setterfield, Fogarty, O’Brien

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Verdict

Carlton still being a mathematical chance to make the finals, and a win against Collingwood will be crucial with a stretch of winnable games on the horizon. The Blues are tipped to win by 1-39 points.

Best Bet: Carlton by 1-39 Winning Margin @130.00 at BetMGM - 2 Units

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