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Collingwood vs St Kilda Predictions & Tips - Low-scoring contest predicted

  • Collingwood vs St Kilda predictions for Sunday's AFL Round 16 match
  • The match is being played at the MCG (6.20am BST)
  • Every Collingwood match has been decided by 1-39 points this season
  • Saints are tipped to win by 1-39
  • Match preview, predictions and latest team news
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Collingwood and St Kilda are set to deliver under the match total (Getty Images)
Freetips staff 02 Jul 2021
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Collingwood vs St Kilda Predictions


St Kilda are tipped to back up their performance against Richmond Tigers last week and record a victory over Collingwood on Sunday.   

  • Every Collingwood match this season has been decided between the 1-39-point margin. 
  • Five of Collingwood’s last 6 matches have gone under the total match points. 
  • St Kilda beaten reigning premiers Richmond Tigers last week.

Head to Head


Collingwood have won 10 out of the last 12 matches since the famous drawn Grand Final in 2010.

The Pies defeated the Saints in Round 3 by 44 points at the MCG. Steele Sidebottom was prolific through the midfield with 31 touches, while also hitting the scoreboard with a goal. 

Collingwood have won four out of the last five against St Kilda at the MCG, with the Saints' last win at the G coming in Round 3 in the 2016 AFL season. 

Collingwood Form


In Round 15 last week, Collingwood fell just short of Fremantle Dockers at the MCG as they lost by 12 points. 

But Collingwood fans will be much happier with their side's output and development in recent weeks. 

In Round 12, they defeated Adelaide Crows by five points with Jamie Elliott a standout with six goals. 

Then on the annual Queen’s Birthday blockbuster against Melbourne, the Pies upset the ladder leading Demons by 17 points at the MCG.

Collingwood are currently sitting 15th on the AFL ladder, with four wins and 10 losses after 15 rounds of the 2021 AFL season. 

Collingwood Team News


Collingwood have named Jordan De Goey, Max Lynch, Finlay Macrae and Trey Ruscoe.

The Pies do lose Beau McCreery to injury.

Collingwood Team List


B: Noble, Roughead, Maynard
HB: Quaynor, Madgen, Mayne
C: Hoskin-Elliott, Crisp, Sidebottom
HF: Bianco, Cameron, Thomas
F: De Goey, Mihocek, Elliott
FOLL: Grundy, Pendlebury, Adams
I/C (from): Brown, Cox, Daicos, Lynch, Macrae, Murphy, Poulter, Ruscoe

St Kilda Form


St Kilda showed they are still capable of beating the best last week, thrashing the reigning premiers Richmond by 40 points at the MCG.

In previous weeks the Saints had demonstrated they were getting back to their best without putting a four-quarter performance together. 

They lost to sixth placed Sydney Swans by nine points in a match they arguably should have won if Jack Higgins could kick straight. 

They were then able to get off to a 36-0 start against the Adelaide Crows, only to lose after fading out of the game in the second half in Cairns. 

St Kilda have a 6-8 record heading into Round 16 placing them 12th on the AFL ladder. 

St Kilda Team News


Nick Coffield is injured for the Saints, but Jack Billings does return for St Kilda.

Other ins include Paul Hunter, Dean Kent and Jack Lonie.

St Kilda Team List


B: Highmore, Webster, Howard
HB: Sinclair, Wilkie, McKenzie
C: Hill, Dunstan, Byrnes
HF: Butler, Wood, Billings
F: Marshall, King, Membrey
FOLL: Ryder, Ross, Steele
I/C (from): Connolly, Crouch, Higgins, Long, Battle, Hunter, Kent, Lonie

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Verdict

With both sides averaging 70 points from their 14 matches, the Total Game Points is tipped to go under. Saints are also predicted to win by 1-39-points.

Best Bet: Under 152.5 Points Total Points @-113.64 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: St Kilda by 1-39 Winning Margin @140.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units

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Collingwood v St Kilda