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Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs Tips & Predictions - Magpies to edge the Dogs in AFL

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 29 May 2024
Ryan Tucker 29 May 2024
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  • Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
  • Both teams struggle with goal accuracy and a low game total is expected
  • Despite injuries, Collingwood's defence could give them an edge
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Scott Pendlebury
Will the Pies beat the Dogs? (Getty Images)

Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs Preview


Collingwood are backed into top 8 and they can continue the run to the finals with a hard-fought win over the Bulldogs.
  • Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Collingwood Form
  • Collingwood Team News
  • Western Bulldogs Form
  • Western Bulldogs Team News

Both teams have problems with accuracy in front of goal so I'm backing under on the Game Total and the Pies by 1-39..

  • Western Bulldogs are 9th and Collingwood 11th in the league in Accuracy (Goals per shot) 
  • Three of the top four Goalscorers for Collingwood are out injured
  • The Bulldogs are 5th worst in the AFL for Opposition Rebound 50’s
  • Collingwood are 4th in the League for Intercept Possessions

Head to Head 


These teams have met only six times since the beginning of the 2019 season with Collingwood holding a 4-2 advantage in the head to head. 

The Magpies also have the most recent success winning the only matchup of the 2023 season 89-77 at Marvel in Round 17 last year.

Collingwood Form


Another draw for the defending Champs as they let a 25 point lead in the 4th quarter slip from their grasp against the Fremantle Dockers last weekend. 

The Pies are still undefeated since round 3 but have now two draws on the season which sees them sneak into the 8 ahead of the Dockers.

Collingwood are struggling with Accuracy in front of the sticks this season and sit at 11th in the AFL at 46.3% Goals/Shots.

Collingwood Team News


The Pies can’t take a trick on the injury front. With an already long list of players out a further few were added following the draw against Freo last weekend. 

Mason Cox will miss up to 6 weeks with an MCL injury. Joe Richards fractured his foot and will miss a comparable amount of time. 

Brody Mihocek reinjured his hamstring that had previously kept him out of the team and is now expected to be sidelined for up to a month.

Jack Bytel could return in round 12 from concussion but Will Hoskin-Elliot and Josh Eyre are at least another week away.

Western Bulldogs Form


The Bulldogs have had a topsy turvy month of footy. After losing to the Hawks they went on to demolish the Tigers and beat the Giants by 5 goals. 

Their win streak was halted last week as the league leading Swans wrestled the game away from the Dogs in the 3rd, holding the margin for the rest of the game.

Western Bulldogs top the league in Possessions per game and move the ball around well within their team with the 2nd highest number of Uncontested Possessions. 

They are though having trouble converting that into points with a below average Accuracy in front of goal.

Western Bulldogs Team News


Aaron Naughton injured his knee in the Dogs loss to Sydney, he is expected to miss up to six weeks. 

Ed Richards and Anthony Scott both sustained concussions and will be sidelined for this game. James O’Donnell is expected to return from an illness.

Verdict

A low game total is predicted and the winning margin should be kept under 40 in the Pies' favour.

Best Bet1: Collingwood 1-39 Winning Margin @5/4 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 170.5 Game Total @7/8 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Collingwood 1-39
Winning Margin
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Collingwood v Western Bulldogs