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Essendon Bombers vs Adelaide Crows Predictions & Tips - Dons to boost finals hopes win Marvel win

08 Jul 2021
gary-emmerson
Gary Emmerson 08 Jul 2021
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  • Essendon Bombers vs Adelaide Crows predictions for Friday's AFL Round 17 match
  • The match is being played at Marvel Stadium (10.50am BST)
  • Essendon Bombers have won their last 3 matches against Adelaide Crows
  • The Bombers are tipped to win by 1-39 points
  • Match preview, predictions and latest team news
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essendon crows
Essendon Bombers are tipped to get the better of the Adelaide Crows (Getty Images)

Essendon Bombers vs Adelaide Crows Predictions


Both sides are in need a win to turn around their finals hopes. Successive defeats have left them six and 10 points outside of the eight respectively.

With home advantage and three straight wins over the Crows, the Bombers are tipped to win. But a tight game is predicted at Marvel Stadium with a 1-39 margin the best bet.

  • Essendon Bombers have lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Essendon Bombers have won their last five Friday night matches at Marvel Stadium.
  • Essendon Bombers have seen 7 of their last 9 matches as a favourite decided by a margin of 15 points or less.
  • Essendon Bombers have won their last 3 matches against Adelaide Crows.
  • The winning margin of the last 3 head to heads has been 19 points or less. 
  • Adelaide Crows have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Adelaide Crows have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.

Head to Head


The Bombers have won three straight against the Crows, including a 62-59 victory last year. Prior to that the Crows had won four in a row themselves.

Over the last 10 clashes, there has been nothing to split the sides with five wins each.

Essendon Bombers Form


The Bombers find themselves in 12th spot on the ladder, six points outside of the top eight following two straight losses and three defeats in the last four games. 

Essendon were no match for Geelong Cats on a first trip to at GMHBA Stadium since 1993 as they lost 98-57 last week.

That followed a 68-57 defeat to another of the competition's top four sides as they went down to Melbourne Demons.

Prior to that, the Dons had recorded an 86-73 win over Hawthorn and will relish facing a side from outside the eight once again.

Essendon Bombers Team News


Essendon will be without captain Dyson Heppell after he underwent surgery on an injured thumb.

Martin Gleeson comes into the Bombers side in the only change. Braydon Ham has been left out this week.

Aaron Francis, Dylan Shiel and Andrew Phillips all remain on the sidelines again this week.

Essendon Bombers Team List


B: Laverde, Stewart, Ridley
HB: Hind, Redman, Gleeson
C: Guelfi, Merrett, Cox
HF: Stringer, Wright, McDonald-Tipungwuti
F: Smith, Jones, Waterman
FOLL: Draper, Parish, Langford
I/C: Cutler, Snelling, Perkins, Hooker
EMG: Ham, Bryan, Zerk-Thatcher, Durham

Adelaide Crows Form


The Crows are in a poor run of form, losing four of the last five to slip to 10 points away from the finals spots.

The latest defeat was a blowout 111-59 loss at home to Brisbane Lions last weekend. 

They have also lost to Richmond Tigers, Collingwood and Carlton in the last five rounds, with a come-from-behind 66-60 win over St Kilda the only highlight.

Adelaide Crows Team News


Key forward Taylor Walker is out after being forced off in last week's defeat to Brisbane Lions with a neck injury. 

The Crows also lose defender Luke Brown, who is suffering from soreness of the Achilles.

They are replaced by Elliot Himmelberg and Lachlan Murphy.

Adelaide Crows Team List


B: Doedee, Butts, Kelly
HB: Smith, Murray, Mackay
C: Sholl, Keays, Seedsman
HF: McHenry, Himmelberg, Murphy
F: Pedlar, Thilthorpe, Frampton
FOLL: O’Brien, Laird, Sloane
I/C: Rowe, Berry, Schoenberg, Jones
EMG: Davis, Hamill, Hately, McPherson

Essendon Bombers vs Adelaide Crows FAQs

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Verdict

Essendon are tipped to get back on track with a fourth straight win over the Crows. A 1-39 winning margin is predicted, with value on it being between 1-19 points.

Best Bet: Essendon by 1-39 Winning Margin @11/12 at William Hill - 3 Units
Value Bet: Essendon by 1-19 Alternative Winning Margin @23/10 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Essendon by 1-39
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Essendon by 1-19
Alternative Winning Margin
@23/10 - 1 Unit
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09 Jul 2021

Essendon v Adelaide