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Geelong Cats vs Adelaide Crows Preview & Tips - Cats to take the points at home in AFL

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 02 Aug 2024

Ryan Tucker 02 Aug 2024

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Geelong vs Adelaide expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
Geelong Cats likely to win by a margin of 1-39 points
Over 170.5 expected for game total points

Expired

Cats to down the Crows (Getty)

Geelong Cats vs Adelaide Crows Tips

The Cats should comfortably get the better of the Crows, just as they did back in Round 2. It was by 19 points in Adelaide earlier this year and they should be good for a 1-39 margin again.

Geelong Cats vs Adelaide Crows Tips
Head to Head
Geelong Cats Form
Geelong Cats Team News
Geelong Cats Team List
Adelaide Crows Form
Adelaide Crows Team News
Adelaide Crows Team List

Geelong have conceded an average of only 70.2 in their last 5 games compared to 89.1 in the first 14 games of the year.
The Cats average the highest number of Intercept Possessions in the AFL.
Adelaide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5, pointing to higher than expected scoring.
5 of the last 6 Crows away games have gone Over the Game Total

Head to Head

Geelong dominate the recent Head to Head numbers against Adelaide having gone 6-1 since the beginning of the 2019 season.

They have taken the last three in a row including a 96-77 victory at the Adelaide Oval earlier this year in Round 2.

Geelong Cats Form

The Cats started slow against the Kangaroos last weekend allowing their opponent to kick the first 3 goals of the game. From there though it was one-way traffic as they kicked 9 goals to 1 to lead at the half.

It was the pressure from the mids and defence from the backline that continually turned their opponents away despite some solid ball movement.

The final pass or kick often resulting in a Turnover as they forced North into 79 errors, 10 more than their season average.

Geelong Cats Team News

Gary Rohan will miss this weekend and possibly next after copping a blow to the head against the Kangaroos.

There is still no word on when Cam Guthrie is expected to make his return but the Cats should get Tom Atkins back on deck.

Tom Hawkins is still at least 3 weeks away.

Geelong Cats Team List

B: J.Henry, S.De Koning, J.Kolodjashnij

HB: L.Humphries, Z.Guthrie, J.Bews

C: M.Holmes, M.Blicavs, O.Dempsey

HF: T.Stengle, B.Close, S.Mannagh

F: S.Neale, J.Cameron, G.Rohan

FOLL: R.Stanley, P.Dangerfield - C, T.Stewart

I/C: Z.Tuohy, O.Henry, T.Bruhn, J.Bowes, G.Miers

EMG: T.Clohesy, M.Duncan, M.Knevitt

IN: R.Stanley, Z.Tuohy

OUT: M.Duncan (Managed), T.Clohesy (Omitted)

Adelaide Crows Form

The Crows 2 game win streak was stopped dead in its tracks last weekend by an elite Hawthorn team that posted 124 points and kept Adelaide to only 58.

They allowed their opponent 29 scoring shots on 58 Forward Entries whilst only managing 18 for themselves in a below average game statistically.

The Crows did little to stand in the way of Hawthorn’s ball usage with the Uncontested Possession count finishing at 165-222 to their rival.

Adelaide Crows Team News

Jordan Dawson has missed time with concussion and could be included in this week’s team if he passes a fitness test. Nick Murray is also looking to make a comeback from a knee injury against the Cats.

Adelaide Crows Team List

B: M.Michalanney, M.Keane, L.Nankervis

HB: B.Dowling, N.Murray, M.Hinge

C: L.Sholl, M.Crouch, J.Soligo

HF: B.Keays, R.Thilthorpe, Z.Taylor

F: L.Murphy, T.Walker, D.Fogarty - C

FOLL: R.O’Brien, R.Laird, J.Dawson

I/C: D.Curtin, J.Worrell, J.Rachele, S.Berry, H.Bond

EMG: B.Smith, E.Himmelberg, J.Borlase

IN: N.Murray, M.Crouch, J.Dawson, J.Worrell

OUT: J.Borlase (Omitted), E.Himmelberg (Omitted), B.Cook (Omitted), C.Jones (Personal Reason)

Verdict

Geelong v Adelaide

Geelong are on another level right now and should not have a problem disposing of Adelaide.

Geelong 1-39

Winning Margin

@1/1 - 2 Units

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