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North Melbourne vs Carlton Tips & Preview - Blues to continue recovery with Good Friday AFL win

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: 15 Apr 2025
Adam Cusworth 15 Apr 2025
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  • North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues expert predictions for Friday’s Round 6 AFL game
  • Carlton secured their first win and can continue momentum against North
  • Charlie Curnow has scored 14 goals in last 3 matches against the Roos
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North Melbourne vs Carlton Marvel Stadium
Carlton Blues and North Melbourne Kangaroos meet on Good Friday (Getty Images)
  • North Melbourne vs Carlton Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos Form
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
  • Carlton Blues Form
  • Carlton Blues Team News

North Melbourne vs Carlton Preview


Carlton finally got their first win of the year last weekend following four straight losses, and the Blues are backed to continue the recovery on Good Friday. Take the Blues to cover the line with Charlie Curnow to have his kicking boots on.

  • Carlton have won the last four matches between the two sides by an average margin of 37 points 
  • Charlie Curnow has booted 14 goals in his last three matches against North
  • North Melbourne are conceding 110 points per game
  • Carlton rank 3rd in the competition for inside 50s and clearances

Head to Head 


Carlton have won the last four matches between the two sides by an average margin of 37 points. Charlie Curnow has booted 14 goals in his last three matches against North, while Patrick Cripps has averaged just under 29 disposals. 

North Melbourne’s Harry Sheezel has averaged 35 disposals in his last three matches against the Blues, while Paul Curtis has booted seven goals from his last three. 

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form


North Melbourne have shown some positive signs in their five matches but have struggled to consistently put together four quarters of footy. They led the Gold Coast in the third term last weekend before conceding 11 of the last 13 goals to go down by 52. 

Defence is still a major concern and the Roos are conceding an average of 110 points per game. They are in the top half of the competition for goals scored. Nick Larkey has booted 16 from his five matches, while Paul Curtis has snagged. But they need to put the clamps on in defence. 

North are breaking even in the clearances and play an uncontested possession style of footy (ranking 2nd for uncontested possessions). But this has not translated to inside 50 dominance (16th in the competition). Harry Sheezel and Caleb Daniel are averaging just under 30 disposals per game. 

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News


No injuries for North Melbourne out of the Suns match. Their young gun, George Wardlaw, is given a chance to return from injury for his first game of the season.

Carlton Blues Form


Despite coming in with a 1-4 record, the Blues are strong in a number of areas, including 3rd for inside 50s and clearances. 

They led their first four matches at half-time before second half fadeouts saw them lose by 20 points or fewer. With last week’s 71 point win over West Coast, they have now outscored opposition by 13 this season. 

The Blues had 36 scoring shots against West Coast and led the inside 50 count 73-35 and clearances 40-18. Their prowess around the footy did not lead to big scores in their first four matches, with a lack of connection hurting them going forward, going at just 62.5 points per game in the first four matches. 

Adam Cerra, George Hewett and Sam Walsh are all averaging 25+ disposals this season, while Charlie Curnow and Brodie Kemp have gone at 1+ goal per game. Big Charlie continues to threaten but hasn't put it together yet and was wayward in front of goal last weekend with 2.4. 

Carlton Blues Team News


Harry McKay will miss after sustaining a concussion in his return last weekend, while fellow tall, Brodie Kemp, is out with an achilles injury. The Blues will need to rejig things down forward. Marc Pittonet is given a chance to come back from injury, freeing up Tom de Koning to pinch hit in the forward line.  

Verdict

Carlton are backed to produce a strong win on Good Friday with Charlie Curnow to deliver up forward for Blues.

Best Bet1: Carlton -13.5 Handicap +13.5 @7/9 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Charlie Curnow To Score 3+ goals @1/2 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet3: Charlie Curnow To Score 4+ goals @23/17 at 10bet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Harry Sheezel To Have 30+ disposals @17/20 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Carlton -13.5
Handicap +13.5
@7/9 - 2 Units
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