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North Melbourne vs Richmond Tigers Tips & Preview - Wooden spoon decider in AFL

gary-emmerson
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Last updated: 02 Aug 2024
Gary Emmerson 02 Aug 2024
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  • North Melbourne vs Richmond expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • North Melbourne favored due to superior attacking stats
  • Richmond boosted by returning players but still have defensive issues
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North Melbourne
North Melbourne to win and avoid the spoon (Getty)

North Melbourne vs Richmond Tigers Prediction


A wooden spoon and it is Richmond who I'm predicting will end up with it. The Tigers are boosted by returning players, but North Melbourne have too much attacking threat.
  • North Melbourne vs Richmond Tigers Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • North Melbourne Form
  • North Melbourne Team News
  • North Melbourne Team List
  • Richmond Tigers Form
  • Richmond Tigers Team News
  • Richmond Tigers Team List

  • North Melbourne are 1st in the league in Kicking Efficiency and Accuracy in front of goal. 
  • The Kangaroos lead the AFL in Rebound 50’s with 42.3 per game.
  • Richmond allow their opponents the highest Rebound 50 Rate in the AFL and are themselves 4th last in the league in Disposal Efficiency.
  • Both Kangaroos wins this season have been by 1-39 Margins.

Head to Head 


These two teams have met on five occasions since the beginning of the 2019 season with Richmond holding a slight 3-2 advantage in the head to head. 

North Melbourne Form


The Kangaroos had a stretch of games where they were very competitive for the entire 4 quarters but are now on a skid of 3 losing games with 2 of those being by substantial margins. 

Their 40 point loss to the Cats last weekend was an improvement on the 75 point loss in Round 5 but it was again the polish that was missing with a lot of opportunities going begging due to wayward passing trying to penetrate the Cats. 

Harry Sheezel continues to impress notching up 36 Disposals, 1 Goal and a Goal Assist in this one. 

North Melbourne Team News


Tyler Sellers is once again available after clearing concussion protocols. Aidan Corr, Zac Fisher and Colby McKercher will all need to get through training this week to be up for selection. 

North Melbourne Team List


B: A.Corr, C.Comben, T.Pink
HB: J.Archer, H.Sheezel, L.McDonald
C: B.Scott, L.Davies-Uniacke, C.McKercher
HF: D.Tucker, B.Teakle, J.Stephenson
F: P.Curtis, N.Larkey, C.Zurhaar
FOLL: T.Xerri, T.Powell, J.Simpkin - C

I/C: Z.Duursma, D.Stephens, W.Phillips, E.Ford, R.Hansen Jr
EMG: M.Bergman, B.Drury, K.Dawson

IN: T.Pink, C.McKercher, E.Ford
OUT: G.Logue (Injured), G.Wardlaw (Injured), L.Shiels (Managed)

Richmond Tigers Form


Unsurprisingly the Tigers lost again last weekend to arch-rivals Collingwood. They never led in a one-sided contest but there were some bright spots, especially Tom Brown not only kicking his first AFL goal but also his second and third. 

Richmond have a lot of soul-searching to do over the summer and there is no doubt injuries have played a major role in their demise this year but with that said their defensive issues need to be looked at with the team allowing the 2nd most points to their opposition across the season.

Richmond Tigers Team News


Kane McAuliffe has missed the past few matches with an illness and will be available for selection this weekend.

A host of other players will need to be put through fitness tests to be cleared to play. This includes Dusty Martin, Tim Taranto, Nick Vlastuin, Mo Riolo and Marlion Pickett. 

Toby Nankervis will miss this one with concussion with Jack Graham and Oliver Hayes-Brown another week away.

Richmond Tigers Team List


B: B.Miller, N.Balta, N.Vlastuin
HB: N.Broad, J.Trezise, D.Rioli
C: H.Ralphsmith, D.Prestia, S.Banks
HF: R.Mansell, L.Baker - C, S.Campbell
F: S.Bolton, D.Martin, J.Koschitzke
FOLL: T.Nankervis, T.Taranto, J.Hopper

I/C: J.Short, T.Brown, S.Green, J.Graham, K.McIntosh
EMG: T.Dow, M.Coulthard, S.Ryan

IN: D.Martin, T.Nankervis, J.Graham
OUT: S.Ryan (Omitted), T.Dow (Omitted), K.Smith (Personal Reason)

Verdict

The Kangaroos are backed to avoid the spoon by taking this one out in a close contest. 

Best Bet1: North Melbourne 1-39 Winning Margin @23/20 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 176.5 Game Total @7/8 at Betgoodwin - 2 Units
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