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Port Adelaide vs Sydney Swans Tips & Predictions - Swans to edge a tight contest in AFL

Ryan Tucker

Editor

Last updated: 02 Aug 2024

Ryan Tucker 02 Aug 2024

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Port Adelaide vs Sydney expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
Port have a winning streak against Sydney
Swans have a high hit-out rate and strong defensive stats and are value to win

Expired

Swans fans to celebrate (Getty)

Port Adelaide vs Sydney Swans Preview

Port Adelaide have have the measure of the Swans in recent years, but I like the odds on a Sydney win here.

Port Adelaide vs Sydney Swans Preview
Head to Head
Port Adelaide Form
Port Adelaide Team News
Port Adelaide Team List
Sydney Swans Form
Sydney Swans Team News
Sydney Swans Team List

Sydney are 3rd in the league in Hit-Outs with 40.8 per game. They also have the highest Win% and 4th best number To Advantage.
The Swans have the highest Rebound 50 Rate in the league at 77.8
The last 3 losses that Port Adelaide have had they lost the Clearances battle, predominantly Stoppage Clearances
The Under is trending in this match up with 4 of the last 5 falling short of the Total

Head to Head

Since 2019 Port Adelaide have held a firm grip on games against Sydney winning all five games played during the period.

Their streak extends back seven games which itself broke a Sydney streak of five straight and 13 wins in 14 games.

Port Adelaide Form

Port have had an inconsistent season especially on the scoring end but despite their shortcomings in front of goal they have managed to win 4 of their last 5 games catapulting them right back into the top 8, only two wins behind leaders Sydney.

What has been key for the Power over their most recent wins is the domination in the ruck and getting clearances which lead to scoring opportunities.

Port Adelaide Team News

Todd Marshall will need to pass a fitness test on his hip injury to be available but he is expected to be right to go. Jed McEntee has been in concussion protocols and will also need to pass tests to be available.

Port Adelaide Team List

B: E.Ratugolea, B.Zerk-Thatcher, M.Bergman

HB: L.Evans, A.Aliir, D.Houston

C: J.Burgoyne, O.Wines, W.Drew

HF: D.Byrne-Jones, M.Georgiades, W.Rioli

F: T.Boak, C.Dixon, C.Rozee - C

FOLL: J.Sweet, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters

I/C: Q.Narkle, K.Farrell, J.Mead, F.Evans, La.Jones

EMG: J.McEntee, R.Burton, D.Visentini

No changes

Sydney Swans Form

My how the tables have turned. Sydney went 13-1 through the first two thirds of the season but have since gone on to lose 4 of their last 5 games, posting their lowest total of the year (48) against the Dogs last weekend.

It is clear that they are missing their midfield stars and the depth of the roster cannot cut it. It will be interesting to see how they line up against Port, a team they have had trouble against for a number of years.

Sydney Swans Team News

The club has listed star trio Dane Rampe, Lewis Melican and Will Hayward as Test and will all need to get through training unhampered this week to line up against Port.

James Rowbottom will play but Justin McInerney and Tom Papley are still out.

Sydney Swans Team List

B: H.Cunningham, T.McCartin, N.Blakey

HB: O.Florent, R.Fox, J.Lloyd

C: M.Roberts, Ch.Warner, J.Jordon

HF: E.Gulden, H.McLean, C.Mills - C

F: T.Adams, J.Amartey, W.Hayward

FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, J.Rowbottom

I/C: Co.Warner, S.Wicks, A.Francis, L.McDonald, L.Parker

EMG: B.Campbell, P.Ladhams, C.Cleary

IN: J.Rowbottom, A.Francis

OUT: L.Melican (Injured), B.Campbell (Omitted)

Verdict

Port Adelaide v Sydney

Sydney are backed to return to winning ways with a decisive victory in Adelaide, ending Port's streak in this fixture in the process.

Sydney 1-39

Winning Margin

@7/5 - 2 Units

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Under 168.5

Game Total

@8/9 - 2 Units

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