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Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Predictions & Tips - Tigers to make it 11 straight

  • Richmond Tigers vs Carlton predictions for Thursday’s AFL Round 1 match
  • The game is being played at the MCG (8.25am GMT)
  • Richmond have won back-to-back premierships
  • The Tigers are tipped to make it 11 straight wins over Carlton
  • Preview, stats, team news & predictions
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Richmond Tigers have won the last 10 in a row against Carlton (Getty Images)
Gary Emmerson 17 Mar 2021
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Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Predictions

The traditional AFL Round 1 curtain-raiser sees reigning champions Richmond Tigers take on rivals Carlton. Winners of 10 straight, the Tigers are tipped to make a winning start to the season.

Carlton have injured problems to start the season and another wide-margin Richmond victory is on the cards.

  • Richmond Tigers have won back-to-back premierships.
  • Richmond Tigers have won 10 of their last 11 matches (including Community Series).
  • Richmond Tigers have won their last 10 matches against Carlton.
  • Richmond Tigers have won by 24 or more points in 8 of their last 9 wins over Carlton.
  • Carlton have lost 5 of their last 6 matches (including Community Series).


Richmond Tigers have dominated their traditional rivals in recent times, winning the last 10 meetings since 2013.

All but one of those wins have been by double-figure point margins. That includes Round 1 last year, when the Tigers were 24-point winners.

Richmond Tigers Form

Richmond Tigers made it back-to-back premierships when defeating Geelong Cats 81-50 in the Grand Final at the Gabba in October.

The defending champions lost to Brisbane Lions in the qualifying final, but didn't look back. They beat St Kilda, Port Adelaide and Geelong in the big dance to win a third premiership in four years.

In the build up to the new season, Damien Hardwick's champions beat Collingwood 80-74 in the Community Series.

Richmond Tigers Team News

Bachar Houli is expected to lose his race to be fit for the opening round due to a calf injury.

Richmond key forward Tom Lynch and Dion Prestia are available for the clash with the Blues.

Richmond Tigers Team List

B: D. Astbury D. Grimes N. Balta
HB: L. Baker N. Vlastuin J. Short
C: D. Prestia T. Cotchin K. Lambert
HF: J. Aarts S. Bolton J. Castagna
F: T. Lynch D. Martin J. Riewoldt
Foll: T. Nankervis K. McIntosh J. Caddy
I/C: D. Rioli N. Broad J. Graham S. Edwards        
Emerg: M. Pickett W. Martyn J. Ross M. Chol    

Carlton Form

Carlton missed out a first finals appearance since 2013 when they finished 10th after a disappointing end to the 2020 season.

The Blues won seven times to continue improvement under David Teague, but will perhaps be kicking themselves after losing four of their last five matches of the campaign.

With the finals in sight, Carlton lost to Collingwood, GWS Giants, wooden spoonists Adelaide Crows and Brisbane Lions. There only win in the last month came against Sydney Swans.

In the Community Series pre-season fixtures, the Blues were well beaten by St Kilda as they went down 125-99.

Carlton Team News

The Blues start the new season with injury doubts over Eddie Betts, Jacob Weitering, Charlie Curnow, Mitch McGovern and Jack Martin for Round 1.

Forward Harry McKay has been be passed fit despite suffering an ankle during the pre-season series. 

Levi Casboult (knee) and Jack Newnes (ankle) have also come through training.

Carlton Team List

B: L. Plowman L. Jones T. Williamson
HB: S. Docherty J. Weitering A. Saad
C: W. Setterfield P. Cripps M. Murphy
HF: L. Fogarty H. McKay J. Newnes
F: Z. Fisher J. Silvagni M. Gibbons
Foll: M. Pittonet P. Dow S. Walsh
I/C: S. Petrevski-Seton L. O’Brien L. Casboult E. Curnow  
Emerg: M. Cottrell O. McDonald L. Stocker M. Kennedy 

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It's eight years since Carlton last beat Richmond Tigers and they have been on the receiving end of some heavy defeats. Another Tigers success is predicted with Richmond at near full strength and the Blues missing key names.

Best Bet: Richmond -19.5 Handicap @-109.89 at BetMGM - 3 Units

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