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Richmond Tigers vs Melbourne Demons Tips & Predictions - Dees to cruise to Anzac Eve win in AFL

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 23 Apr 2024
Jeremy Darke 23 Apr 2024
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  • Richmond vs Melbourne expert predictions for Wednesday’s AFL game
  • Anzac Eve clash between Richmond Tigers and Melbourne Demons
  • Melbourne Demons have dominated their encounters against Richmond Tigers
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Melbourne Demons
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Richmond Tigers vs Melbourne Demons Preview


Melbourne Demons can prove much too good for Richmond Tigers in the traditional Anzac Eve clash having dominated the last three editions.
  • Richmond Tigers vs Melbourne Demons Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Richmond Tigers Form 
  • Melbourne Demons Form

The Dees had a tough loss to Brisbane two weeks ago but will have benefitted from the bye. The lack of strength of the Tigers at the stoppages means I can see Demons getting up this year by covering the 27.5 points line.

  • Melbourne has won their past 4 games against Richmond.
  • Richmond has lost 5 of their 6 matches this season.
  • Richmond ranks last in the AFL with just 30.2 Total Clearances per game.  
  • 5 of the past 7 games between Melbourne and Richmond have hit the Under Game Total.

Head to Head 


The Dees have won the past four games against the Tigers with Richmonds last win against Melbourne July 5, 2020.

Melbourne kicked 20.10 in a 32 point victory against Richmond last season in round 20, after the Tigers held a 20-point lead mid-way through the third quarter in a tight match where the lead changed five times. Richmond also bombed a 25-point lead in round 6, eventually losing 96-78.

Richmond Tigers Form 


Richmond will come off the bye into round 7 hoping that the week off will help them reset as they chase their second win of the year. 

Their only victory was against arguably their toughest competition of the season, beating Sydney in round 3. 

In some books, you are only as strong as your last performance and that was a shocker for the Tigers, getting crushed by West Coast 109-70, where they were completely out-enthused by a younger and more hungry side. 

Richmond are getting owned at the stoppages ranked last in the AFL with 30.2 total clearances per game and 20.7 stoppage clearances.

Melbourne Demons Form


Melbourne played their worst game of the season to date before the bye week going down 82-60 against the Lions. 

The Demons got pressured by Brisbane which caused too many turnovers and incepted passes.

Brisbane played the match inside the Dees’ 50 and shut down the outside forcing Melbourne to play through the middle, which was not all that effective as Brisbane controlled the game from the start really. 

The bye will help Melbourne, who need to find a way to be more effective with the ball in their hand and score points, averaging just 83.33 points per game which is the second-least of any team in the top-eight.

Verdict

Melbourne are tipped to continue their Anzac Eve dominance of Richmond and get their fourth straight victory in this fixture, covering the 27.5-point line as favourites in the process.

Best Bet1: Melbourne -27.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 167.5 Game Total @8/9 at bet365 - 2 Units
Melbourne -27.5
Handicap/Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365
Under 167.5
Game Total
@8/9 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

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