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Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints Tips - Minor upset on the cards as Saints look to bounce back from Gather Round defeat

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: 17 Apr 2025
Adam Cusworth 17 Apr 2025
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  • Western Bulldogs and St Kilda Saints both stand at 3-2 in the AFL ladder.
  • Key players include Bailey Dale for the Bulldogs and Jack Sinclair for the Saints.
  • St Kilda has a slightly stronger scoring record; Bulldogs face fitness challenges.
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western bulldogs vs st kilda marvel stadium
MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - APRIL 18: Taylor Duryea of the Bulldogs and Hugo Garcia of the Saints clash during the 2024 AFL Round 06 match between the St Kilda Saints and the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium on April 18, 2024 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints Preview

  • Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Western Bulldogs Form Analysis
  • Western Bulldogs Team News
  • Western Bulldogs Team List
  • St Kilda Saints Form Analysis
  • St Kilda Saints Team News
  • St Kilda Saints Team List

This shapes as a real 50-50 contest with the two sides in the mix for a top eight standing at the conclusion of the round. 

The Western Bulldogs are 2-3 after their five matches and led Brisbane by 39 points in the second quarter of their Gather Round clash before a 50-point turnaround saw them go down by 21. 

St Kilda are 3-2 and also come off a loss in South Australia, going down to GWS by 28. A win will see them go 4-2 but a loss will see them join the Bulldogs on 3-3. 

While the Bulldogs have an edge in the recent head to head match ups, fitness concerns over key players could be telling, while the Saints have a fraction more scoring ability at this stage of the year. 

Ross Lyon’s side can score a minor upset. Bailey Dale can sneak under the guard for the Bulldogs and find plenty of the footy. 

The Saints rank 4th for scoring this season, booting an average of 14 goals per game. 
The Bulldogs rank 12th for fewest goals conceded
Both sides are 3-2 after five matches. 
Bailey Dale has averaged 30 disposals in his past three against the Saints. 

Head to Head 


The Western Bulldogs claimed the Round 6 encounter between the two sides in 2024 by 60 points. Aaron Naughton booted six for the winners, while Bailey Dale had 39 disposals. Brad Hill, Marcus Windhager and Jack Steele all had 25+ disposals for the Saints. 

The Bulldogs have won three of the past four between the two sides. Bailey Dale has averaged 30 disposals in his past three against the Saints, while Jack Sinclair has averaged 29 for St Kilda. 

Western Bulldogs Form Analysis


Hard fought matches have been a theme this season with all five of the Bulldogs results decided by 21 points or less. They sit with a win-loss record of 2-3.

Slight question marks on their ability to defend. They rank 12th for goals conceded and conceded 14 second half goals against the Lions, while Fremantle also produced a run in the second quarter of the Round 4 match. A lack of experience in big moments is being cited as a reason by their coach, Luke Beveridge, with their side still missing Marcus Bontempelli and Adam Treloar. 

Sam Darcy has kicked 14 goals from his five matches, while Aaron Naughton has bagged eight. Tom Liberatore is averaging just under 30 disposals per game as the Dogs remain without Bontempelli and Treloar. 

Western Bulldogs Team News


Marcus Bontempelli is edging closer to a return and will face a fitness test but Adam Treloar is still a few weeks away. Cody Weightman wont be back any time soon. James Harmes pulled up with a foot injury out of the Lions match and will be assessed at training. 

Western Bulldogs Team List


B: B.Khamis, L.Jones, L.Bramble

HB: J.Johannisen, R.Lobb, B.Dale

C: B.Williams, E.Richards, J.Freijah

HF: L.McNeil, A.Naughton, T.Liberatore

F: J.O’Donnell, S.Darcy, R.West

FOLL: T.English, M.Bontempelli - C, M.Kennedy

I/C (FROM): O.Baker, J.Busslinger, L.Cleary, S.Davidson, J.Dolan, H.Gallagher, C.Hynes, R.Sanders

In: M.Bontempelli, O.Baker, J.Busslinger, H.Gallagher

Out: J.Harmes (Injured)


St Kilda Saints Form Analysis


St Kilda sit 3-2 after five matches. All of their results have sat in the 1-39 point range except for their win over Richmond, a 40-point margin. 

In the 26 point loss to GWS last weekend, Cooper Sharman booted three goals, while Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera snuck forward for three. Jack Sinclair picked up 26 disposals and has picked up 25+ in his past four. Jack Macrae had a quiet match with 17 disposals but has had 30+ in three of his five matches. 

The Saints rank 4th for scoring this season, booting an average of 14 goals per game. Jack Higgins has booted 14 from five matches, while Mich Owens has eight from four. Mason Wood has nine from five. 

St Kilda Saints Team News


St Kilda remain without Max King for an extended period, while Dan Butler and Mattaes Phillipou are edging closer to a return but wont be ready for Sunday’s match. They came out of the Giants match with no fresh injuries. 

St Kilda Saints Team List


B: R.Byrnes, C.Wilkie, J.Webster

HB: A.Schoenmaker, N.Wanganeen-Milera, M.Windhager

C: B.Hill, J.Sinclair, M.Wood

HF: M.Hall, D.Wilson, M.Owens

F: C.Sharman, A.Caminiti, J.Higgins

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C

I/C (FROM): Z.Jones, L.Collard, T.Travaglia, L.Stocker, L.Henry, A.Hastie, H.Boyd, H.Garcia

In: A.Schoenmaker, L.Henry, H.Boyd

Out: Nil

Verdict

St Kilda to win. Bailey Dale among the disposals for the Bulldogs
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20 Apr 2025

Western Bulldogs v St Kilda