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Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Live Stream & Tips - Hawks to dominate the Breakers in NBL

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 10 Jan 2025

Ryan Tucker 10 Jan 2025

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Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 16 NBL matchup
Key player Darius Days expected to score 15+ points
Anticipate game total under 185.5 points based on team trends

Expired

Hawks to dominate (Getty)

Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Tips
Head to Head
Illawarra Hawks Form
New Zealand Breakers Form

Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Tips

The Breakers have covered the line just once in 11 games when getting a double digit start, and that makes the Hawks the value here. Take them to cover as favourites and for Darius Days to score 15+ points.

Darius Days has averaged 3 more shots per game in his last three games than the three preceding. He scored 11 in his previous match against the Breakers.
New Zealand are the 7th ranked defensive team over the last 10 games, allowing 96.5 pts per game to their opposition.
The Breakers have covered just 1 of their last 11 games. The Hawks are 13-8 ATS on the season.
6 of the last 9 combined games for these two teams have gone Under the Game Total.

Head to Head

2024/25 Match Results

28/11/24: Illawarra 109-71 New Zealand

2023/24 Season Series

Illawarra Hawks won 2-1

Illawarra Hawks Form

The Hawks broke their 2-game losing streak with a strong defensive match against the Tasmania JackJumpers on Tuesday, beating a fast finishing Ants 89-84.

The Hawks dominated the first half but a third quarter lapse saw them let Tasmania back into the game, but the Hawks showed character and found some rare clutch plays when the game was on the line, building some strong character as the season is heading into its final stages.

Despite being held to their lowest score in 10 games it is the Hawks offence that has them sitting at the top of the NBL Standings with a 14-7 record. They rank first points per game (101.0), rebounds per game (43.9), Field-goal percentage (48.7) and turnovers (10.3/G).

Trey Kell continues to push his cause for the MVP recording 19 points 7 assists and 4 assists against Tasmania, giving him season averages of 18.6PPG, 4.1RPG and 3.9APG with an NBL career-high 43.9FG%.

New Zealand Breakers Form

New Zealand’s 74 points in their 9-point loss to Brisbane on Wednesday was their worst offensive performance in 8 matches and against the Bullets who allow the second-most points of any team in the NBL.

There was hope in New Zealand that they just might scrape away with a couple of wins while Parker Jackson-Cartwright was off the court with Tacko Fall and Matt Mooney stepping up to the challenge without their star guard, but if Brisbane stopped them the outlook is gloomy.

An 11-4 turnover count hurt the Breakers once again who actually had one of their better nights considering they average 13.1 TOV per game, ninth in the NBL.

New Zealand's inability to score from the perimeter has also been their Achilles heel this season, ranked 10th in the league with a 31.1 3P%.

Verdict

Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers

Take Darius Days 15+, Illawarra line and the Game Total Under.

Darius Days 15+

Player Points

@7/5 - 1 Unit

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Illawarra -13.5

Line

@9/10 - 1 Unit

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Under 185.5

Game Total

@9/10 - 1 Unit

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