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Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers Live Stream & Tips - Tight Grand Final replay predicted in NBL opener

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 17 Sep 2024
Jeremy Darke 17 Sep 2024
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  • Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 1 NBL matchup
  • Tasmania given a 6.5-point start on handicap line
  • Both teams strong defensively; Under 172.5 points predicted
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Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers
Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers (Getty Images)

Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers Preview


A grand final replay between Melbourne United and the Tasmania JackJumpers kicks off the new NBL25 season. Reigning champions Tasmania appeal most getting a 6.5 start on the handicap line. 
  • Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Melbourne United Form & Team News
  • Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News

  • Tasmania won 5 of 8 games against Melbourne in NBL24.
  • The past 4 games between Melbourne and Tasmania have been decided by 5 points or less.
  • Melbourne United averaged 87.6PPG against in NBL24.
  • Tasmania averaged 84.9 points against per game in NBL24 and just 69.33 points against in the FIBA Intercontinental Cup last week.

Head to Head 


Tasmania JackJumpers won 2-1 in the 2023/24 Season Series.

Melbourne United Form & Team News


Melbourne came as close as you can come to winning a Championship without actually winning the Championship in NBL24, losing to the Tasmania JackJumpers in 5 games in the NBL24 Grand Final.

United won the minor premiership after a superb start to the season, building their game around strong defence, averaging 87.6 PPG against (2nd in NBL) while being the hardest team to shoot against with an opposition field goal percentage of 43.4%.

The NBL Blitz was a success for them beating Cairns and Illawarra and going down to Brisbane. Prodigal son Jack White, who returns from the NBA after winning a Championship with Denver, was the most impressive in the preseason tournament averaging 18 points and 9.6 rebounds per game. 

Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News


Tassie got their maiden Championship after just 3 years in the league after coming so close in their first two seasons in the NBL. 

It took them 5 games to do with a buzzer-beater in game three by the departed Jack McVeigh and a 32-point haul from Jordan Crawford in game 5 of the series that were the turning points.

A lot has changed since then for the JackJumpers with their MVP McVeigh moving onto the NBA with Houston and losing key center Marcus Lee to their rivals Melbourne. 

To make matters worse, Sean Macdonald, who was expected to help fill the void of McVeigh has been ruled out for 6-8 weeks after going down in their bronze medal victory in the Fiba Intercontinental Cup..

Tasmania will once again need to rely on their defence to win them games which was the cornerstone of coach Scott Roth’s gameplan last season with the JJs ranked as the best team defensively in the NBL topping the stats column in opposition points (84.9PPG), opposition rebounds (38.3RPG) and opposition three-point percentage (31.6 3P%).

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Verdict

This game is predicted to be a tight encounter with the underdog JackJumpers to cover with a 6.5-point start. Both teams are strong defensively so the Under is the most likely in the opener.

Best Bet1: Tasmania +6.5 Handicap/Line @10/11 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 172.5 Game Total @17/20 at Betgoodwin - 2 Units
Tasmania +6.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Under 172.5
Game Total
@17/20 - 2 Units
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