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New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Live Stream & Tips - Breakers to take down injury-hit Bullets in NBL

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 23 Jan 2025
Ryan Tucker 23 Jan 2025
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  • New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets expert predictions for Friday’s Round 18 NBL matchup
  • Bullets won 2 of 3 matchups but are undermanned
  • Key player PJC expected to make significant impact in a Breakers victory
Expired
Parker Jackson-Cartwright
Parker Jackson-Cartwright of the Breakers (Getty Images)
  • New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • New Zealand Breakers Form
  • Brisbane Bullets Form

New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Preview


The Bullets have won two of the three matchup this season, but are undermanned for this trip. I'm backing the Breakers to get another win on the board with PJC to star.

  • New Zealand are 4-2 as the favourite this season with Brisbane 4-13 as the Underdog.
  • Brisbane average Game Total this season is 190.5.
  • The Bullets are the worst defensive team in the league, allowing 97.9 pts per game to their opponent.
  • Parker Jackson-Cartwright had 6 assists in his last game against Brisbane and is averaging 6.5 assists on the season.

Head to Head 


2024/25 Match Results

Jan 8th 25: Brisbane 83-74 New Zealand
Oct 17th 24: Brisbane 84-73 New Zealand
Sep 21st 24: New Zealand 91-87 Brisbane

2023/24 Season Series

New Zealand Breakers won 2-1

New Zealand Breakers Form


The Breakers most recent outing was a 102-89 loss to the South East Melbourne Phoenix. The Phoenix got out the gates early taking a 30-17 first quarter lead that the Breakers failed to recover from for the rest of the game.

It leaves New Zealand in second last spot in the standings with a 9-16 record (4-9 on the road) heading into the last 3 rounds of the regular season. 

This year will be one to study for the Breakers who started 7-3 even with a trip to the US thrown in the mix. But some dour scoring performances coupled with a five game suspension to Parker Jackson-Cartwright derailed their season. 

The loss to the Phoenix came down to discipline with SEM only hitting two more buckets than NZ but getting to the line at a much higher rate and taking advantage of the free points on offer. The Breakers also allowed 21 points from their 13 turnovers in a poor show of defensive energy.

NZ have not been able to reach 90+ points in 17 of their 25 games this season which has meant that the fourth ranked defence has not been enough to take victories against opponents that can lift the scoring rate of the game.

Brisbane Bullets Form


Brisbane’s hopes of making finals have all but slipped away after racking up two more losses in Round 17. They have now won just one game in their past eight games after going 9-8 to start the season. 

The most recent matchup was a 121-87 loss to the league leading Illawarra Hawks where they allowed their opponent to score 80 points in the paint, the most of any team this season. The Bullets have been understrength for a number of games, missing their big man as a deterrent under the rim. 

With Casey Prather also missing the matchup the scoring duties were left to Josh Bannan and Keandre Cook with new recruit Josh Adams adding 12 off the bench. As has been the story of the season though for the Bullets, it just wasn’t enough.

There is still no word on whether Prather, Tyrell Harrison or Deng Adel will be available for this matchup.

Verdict

Take the Breakers to win and cover the line, with Prather back we can expect an injection of scoring taking the Game Total Over. PJC to record 6+ assists in the game.

Best Bet1: NZ Breakers -5.5 Line @9/10 at Betgoodwin - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Over 177.5 Game Total @9/10 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Jackson-Cartwright 6+ Assists @20/21 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
NZ Breakers -5.5
Line
@9/10 - 1 Unit
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Over 177.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 1 Unit
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Jackson-Cartwright 6+
Assists
@20/21 - 1 Unit
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