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Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Tips & Live Stream - Perth to win at home in NBL clash

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 30 Jan 2025

Ryan Tucker 30 Jan 2025

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Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix expert predictions for Friday’s Round 19 NBL matchup
Wildcats boast the 2nd best home record and can cover the line
Nathan Sobey aims for another stellar 20+ point game

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Wildcats to win (Getty Images)

Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Preview
Head to Head
Perth Wildcats Form
South East Melbourne Phoenix Form

Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Preview

Perth have won both matchups against the Phoenix at RAC this season and are tied for the second best home record in the NBL. They can cover the line and win at home with Nathan Sobey backed for 20+ points.

Perth have the 2nd best home record of any team this season while SE Melbourne have the second worst road record in the top 6.
The Wildcats have been the best scoring team over the past 10 games.
South East Melbourne allow 94.3 pts per game to opponents on the road this season.
Nathan Sobey has scored 26+ points in 4 of his last 5 games.

Head to Head

2024/25 Match Results

Nov 15th 24: Perth 97-84 South East Melbourne

Nov 3rd 24: South East Melbourne 100-76 Perth

Sep 20th 24: Perth 106-98 South East Melbourne

2023/24 Season Series

South East Melbourne won 2-1

Perth Wildcats Form

The Wildcats were one of two top teams to be upset by the Cairns Taipans in recent games, going down 125-116 in double overtime on Saturday at RAC.

Perth allowed Cairns to get 50 points in the paint, shoot 40% from distance all without capitalising on the 17 turnovers gifted to them throughout the game.

Momentum swung multiple times throughout the match but the Wildcats failed to get enough of a scoring run to put a lead on the Taipans who were always ready with the next wave of scoring.

Perth’s defence has been criticised at times this season and another 125 points allowed, even given double overtime, is just too poor against the team coming last on the ladder.

If the Wildcats are hopeful of making a deep playoff run they will need to make sure they are able to lockdown defensively against any team in the league.

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form

South East Melbourne belted the defending champions Tasmania JackJumpers last weekend 116-80 at the State Basketball centre. The win put them up to 4th in the standings with a superior points differential thanks to their elite defence that has been instilled in the team since the arrival of Josh King.

It is all but certain now that the Phoenix will feature in their first finals series since their play-in qualifier loss to the Perth Wildcats in the 22-23 season, but where exactly they will finish in the standings is yet to be determined.

If results go their way, there is a slim chance they can finish first but more likely is the 3rd-5th range which could see them match up with the Wildcats or cross-town rivals Melbourne United in the play-in.

The Phoenix are ranked 3rd in defence this season allowing opponents just 90.5 pts per game. They also cause the 3rd highest number of turnovers with a number of players getting their hands on the ball.

Offensively they have climbed to the 3rd spot in scoring but are ranked 7th in 3pt shooting signaling they do not want to end up in a shootout with an opponent.

Verdict

Perth Wildcats v SE Melbourne Phoenix

My top picks are Perth to cover the line while going over their Team Total. Nathan Sobey has been in fine point scoring form lately, take him over 20 pts against a poor Wildcats defence.

Perth -4.5

Line

@9/10 - 1 Unit

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Perth over 103.5

Team Total

@9/10 - 1 Unit

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N Sobey 20+

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N Sobey 25+

Player Points

@17/10 - 1 Unit

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