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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Live Stream & Tips - Phoenix to stay alive in NBL finals

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: 14 Feb 2025

Jeremy Darke 14 Feb 2025

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers expert predictions for Sunday’s Play-In Game NBL matchup
Phoenix held strong in previous games at 10 wins out of last 11 as hosts
Phoenix expected to cover 3.5 points with game going over 196.5 points total

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S.E.M v Adelaide Play-In Game (Getty)

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Preview
Head to Head
South East Melbourne Phoenix Form
Adelaide 36ers Form

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Preview

South East Melbourne are tipped to stay alive in the NBL Playoffs. Expect Nathan Sobey to exploit Adelaide from the perimeter like he did with his 26 points against the 36ers last time they played, leading the Phoenix to the semifinals.

South East Melbourne have won 10 of their past 11 games as the home team.
Adelaide had a 4-10 record as the away team in NBL25
Adelaide are the 8th ranked defensive team in the NBL averaging 96.4 opposition points and a 46.7FG%
Nathan Sobey averages 19.8 points per game against Adelaide in his career.

Head to Head

2024/25 Match Results

02/02/25: South East Melbourne 105-99 Adelaide

21/12/24: South East Melbourne 106-86 Adelaide

03/10/24: Adelaide 93-83 South East Melbourne

2023/24 Season Series

Adelaide 36ers won 2-1

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form

The Phoenix found themselves in early trouble against Perth in the Seeding Qualifier, staring at a 20-4 scoreline after the first 5 minutes.

A three-point masterclass from Angus Glover turned things around with S.E.M leading by 5 at halftime, however, all of their hard work was undone in the second half with the Wildcats blowing out the Phoenix 122-105.

In postseason basketball you cannot take your foot off the gas and the Phoenix didn’t play for the full 40 mins against Perth. With Adelaide’s short bench they will want to rectify that in the Play-In Game, and take advantage of the 46 bench points they had against the Wildcats.

Angus Glover stepped up for the Phoenix with a team-high 25 points with Nathan Sobey 22 points and Matt Hurt scoring 24 points, however, it was a quiet game for Jordan Hunter who got into early foul trouble again and played just 12 minutes.

Hunter is vital to this contest and will need to stay in the game against the rampaging Montrezl Harrell, fighting for boards and winning second chance opportunities.

Adelaide 36ers Form

The 36ers beat Sydney for the fourth consecutive time in their Play-In Qualifier on Thursday at Qudos Arena, going on a 40-19 run either side of the halftime break with captain Dejan Vasiljevic changing the momentum of the game with his 3-point shooting.

Adelaide shot 39.4% from the three point line with Vasiljevic going 7-11 from deep and scoring a team-high 25 points in the match. Montrezl Harrell (18Pts+8Reb+7Ass) and Kendric Davis (24Pts+5Reb+4Ass) were obviously the other contributors as expected.

The 36ers shot at 50% from the field, playing to their strengths against Sydney. Adelaide were the second-most efficient team with a 47.7 FG% while also ranking third with a 36.6 3P% in NBL25.

Ranked 7th in rebounds and 10th in opposition rebounds this season, the 36ers focus is on finding their guys in the right shooting areas trusting that Davis, Vasiljevic and Harrell will get the buckets.

Despite having a shorter bench with only three players rotating in against Sydney, Jarell Martin, Sunday Dench and Jason Cadee all had over 16 minutes on the court, much higher minutes than they were in the regular season.

Verdict

SE Melbourne Phoenix v Adelaide 36ers

South East Melbourne are backed to cover the 3.5 points as favourites with the match going over the 196.5 point total with Nathan Sobey scoring 20+ points.

Phoenix -3.5

Handicap

@10/11 - 2 Units

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Over 196.5

Total Points

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Nathan Sobey 20+

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