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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets Tips & Live Stream - Home comforts for Phoenix in NBL

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 10 Jan 2025

Ryan Tucker 10 Jan 2025

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets predictions for Saturday’s Round 16 NBL matchup
Phoenix in strong form, consistently scoring 100+
Matt Hurt a key player with multiple 20+ point games...and backed in the player props markets

Expired

Will Matt Hurt reach 25 points? (Getty)

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets Preview
Head to Head
South East Melbourne Phoenix Form
Brisbane Bullets Form

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Brisbane Bullets Preview

South East Melbourne have found their shooting boots in the last five games and they are backed to cover the -5.5 line. Given their form they are tipped to go over their Team Total and for Matt Hurt to score 20+ points.

Brisbane have allowed top 3 scoring opponents 101.5 points per game this season.
South East Melbourne have scored 100+ points in 6 straight games.
The Phoenix have the 4th best FG% while Brisbane allow opponents the highest number of any team in the league.
Matt Hurt scored 27 and 24 pts in his two games against Brisbane this season.

Head to Head

2024/25 Match Results

12/12/24: Brisbane 116 - 108 South East Melbourne

12/10/24: South East Melbourne 85 - 87 Brisbane

2023/24 Season Series

Brisbane Bullets won 2-1

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form

South East Melbourne continued to claim their case as the underdog to win the NBL Championship beating another giant in the reigning Champions the Tasmania JackJumpers 105-91 on Sunday.

Another team performance from the Phoenix that saw 5 players score in double-digits with Matt Hurt leading the charge with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists.

Derrick Walton Jr has now fully recovered from early-season injuries with another 16-point, 6-assist game against the JJ’s which has him averaging 19.4 points and 6.2 assists in his past 5 matches with his time on the court also increasing substantially.

The win against Tasmania was also the Phoenix's eighth consecutive game scoring 99 points or more. The scoring only makes South East Melbourne more dangerous considering coach Josh King has implemented a strong defensive mindset since coming to the club.

Brisbane Bullets Form

If Brisbane makes the playoffs you could start building a case that Casey Prather needs to be in the MVP conversation. After returning from a pair of knee injuries that kept him out almost two years starting his first full season, Prather has been the core of the Brisbane offence and has the Bullets on the cusp of the play-in with 8 games remaining.

Prather dropped 31 points, 10 rebounds along with 6 assists in the Bullets 83-74 win against the Breakers on Wednesday, which has the Bullets import averaging 27.3 points per game in his past 11 matches.

There is a lot more that Brisbane needs to do to make it into the postseason in NBL25 and cleaning up their defence will likely be the deciding factor.

The 74 points they conceded to the Breakers was their second-lowest score against this season and they will need more defensive displays like that to bring down their season average of 95.1 opposition points per game which ranks 8th in the NBL.

Verdict

SE Melbourne Phoenix v Brisbane Bullets

I am backing the Phoenix to cover the line while going Over their Team Total led in scoring by Matt Hurt who has scored 20+ points in 4 of his last 6 games.

SE Melbourne -5.5

Line

@9/10 - 1 Unit

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SEM over 100.5

Team Total

@9/10 - 1 Unit

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M Hurt 20+

Player Points

@6/7 - 1 Unit

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M Hurt 25+

Player Points

@5/2 - 1 Unit

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