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Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers Live Stream & Tips - Harrell to lead Sixers to NBL Play-In Game success

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 11 Feb 2025
Jeremy Darke 11 Feb 2025
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  • Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers expert predictions for Thursday’s Play-In Qualifier NBL matchup
  • Adelaide dominated regular season against Sydney
  • Montrezl Harrell pivotal with multiple double-doubles this season and backed for another
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Montrezl Harrell
Sixers to beat the Kings (Getty)

Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers Preview


Adelaide swept the Kings in the regular season and are backed to win through from this NBL Finals Play-In Qualifier. Montrezl Harrell can steal the show with a double-double.
  • Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Sydney Kings Form
  • Adelaide 36ers Form

  • Adelaide have won 5 of their last 6 games against Sydney.
  • Adelaide have an average winning margin of 11.33 points in their three victories over Sydney this season.
  • Kouat Noi has averaged 21.5 points in his last 6 matches.
  • Montrezl Harrell has 3 double-doubles against Sydney this season.

Head to Head 


2024/25 Match Results

24/01/25: Sydney 96 - 105 Adelaide
30/12/24: Sydney 96 - 111 Adelaide
11/10/24: Adelaide 89 - 79 Sydney

Sydney Kings Form


Sydney’s finals campaign was rocked before it even got started with the news that All-NBL second team player Xavier Cooks will miss the match after being put under investigation for breaking anti-doping laws. 

It adds even more doubt of how far the Kings can go in these finals after losing their previous three matches heading into the postseason, including a 9-point loss to Adelaide, before defeats by Perth and Illawarra. 

Despite having a top-two defence in most categories, giving up just 88.2 points per game this season and being the hardest team to shoot against, boasting an opposition field goal percentage of 42.1, the Kings have struggled for consistency on the offensive side of the ball.

The Kings stacked roster has fallen in and out of form from night to night, shooting at 44.2FG% (8th) and scoring an average of just 90.7 points per game. 

With Cooks out it makes Sydney’s interior even more vulnerable than it has been this season and they will be relying on Jaylen Adams and Kouat Noi to attack from the perimeter. 

Adams has scored over 40 points twice this season and both have been against Adelaide, while the NBL25 Sixth-Man of the year Noi will need to lift to another level again and score over his 21.5 point six-game average. 

Adelaide 36ers Form


Adelaide have the potential to disrupt these finals from sixth and will be a tough beat in the play-in, however, their away record is a concern, losing 10 of 14 matches on the road. 

There is no denying that Adelaide have a top starting five in the league with Montrezl Harrell, Kendric Davis, Dejan Vasiljevic, Isaac Humphries and Lat Mayen, however, that is where it stops, using just 3 bench players, all with limited time on the court. 

The 36ers hopes hang on All-NBL players, Kendic Davis and Montrezl Harrell who will need to lift this team. Davis finished the season second on points averaging 25.6 per game and led the league with 8 assists per game. 

The impact of Harrell will be the game changer in this one with the former NBA Sixth Man of the Year dominating in the paint this season, averaging 20.7 points per game (4th in NBL) while ranking third in the league with an average of 9.2 rebounds per game.

Verdict

Adelaide will cover as the 2.5 point favourites with Montrezl Harrell recording a double-double. Kouat Noi will score 15+ points for the Kings.

Best Bet1: Adelaide -2.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Montrezl Harrell Double-Double @15/19 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Kouat Noi 15+ Player Points @5/8 at 10bet - 3 Units
Adelaide -2.5
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