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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Illawarra Hawks Tips & Live Stream - Hawks to end Tassie's season in NBL

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 29 Jan 2025
Ryan Tucker 29 Jan 2025
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  • Tasmania JackJumpers vs Illawarra Hawks expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 19 NBL matchup
  • Tasmania need a win to keep playoffs hope alive
  • Hawks lead in NBL scoring and crucial metrics and can win
Expired
Sam Froling
JackJumpers season to be ended? (Getty)
  • Tasmania JackJumpers vs Illawarra Hawks Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Tasmania JackJumpers Form
  • Illawarra Hawks Form

Tasmania JackJumpers vs Illawarra Hawks Preview


Tasmania JackJumpers need a win to keep playoff hopes alive, but I'm predicting it will be the Hawks who win this game. Take Illawarra to cover the line. 

  • Illawarra are 1st in the NBL in scoring, points in the paint, 2nd chance points and fast break points.
  • Tasmania allow the most fast break points per game while ranking 8th in opponent 2nd chance points and 7th in opponent points in the paint.
  • The JackJumpers rank 7th in rebounding this season while Illawarra are top 3 on both ends of the court.
  • Sam Froling scored 21 and 15 points in his two games against Tassie this season.

Head to Head 


2024/25 Match Results

Jan 7th 25: Illawarra 89-84 Tasmania
Oct 12th 24: Illawarra 109-76 Tasmania

2023/24 Season Series

Tasmania JackJumpers won 2-1

Tasmania JackJumpers Form


It is all or nothing for the JackJumpers right now with just 3 games remaining in the regular season. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and sit outside the play-in with 1 less win and 1 more loss than the 6th placed Adelaide 36ers.

Their points differential is also inferior to that of the 36ers so to even have a chance at getting into the play-offs to defend their crown, they are going to need to win out and hope that Adelaide crash and burn.

The key takeaways from their last start loss to the South East Melbourne Phoenix were giving up 60 points in the paint and a 75% FG percentage allowed from 2pt range. Neither of those statistics are what Tasmania have lived and breathed through the past few seasons and do not contribute to winning basketball games.

Add to that a poor shooting night from their own stars with only 1 player making it past 14 points and the momentum is hard to shift. Things aren’t looking good for the defending champs but rumours are swirling that Will Magnay could be an inclusion in this upcoming round.

Illawarra Hawks Form


Illawarra were once again stunned by the Cairns Taipans in their most recent outing. After going HAM on Melbourne United and Brisbane prior to the matchup the confidence was there that the Hawks would not allow a repeat of the earlier Taipans upset which snapped their 15 game losing streak.

The Hawks though were once again not in the right mindframe to play basketball allowing their opponent to get out to a 31-17 first quarter lead. Fouls were also problematic for the league leaders, sending the Taipans to line on 34 occasions where they converted at a 75% rate. Illawarra had just 17 free throws in the game making only 11 of those attempts. 

Despite the best opposition player sitting out the game and the second best player fouling out late the Hawks could not get back on top of the Taipans with the first half deficit once again proving too large to overcome. 

Illawarra are assured of a spot in the finals but the question will be whether it is from first place, earning a rest and home court or from further down the standings.

Verdict

Take Illawarra to cover the line putting a big margin on the hapless JackJumpers who will see their season disappear with the loss. Sam Froling is the pick of the bunch to go over his points total.

Best Bet1: Illawarra -9.5 Line @9/10 at Betgoodwin - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Hawks over 96.5 Team Total @9/10 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: S Froling 15+ Player Points @8/9 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: S Froling 20+ Player Points @3/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Illawarra -9.5
Line
@9/10 - 1 Unit
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Team Total
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S Froling 15+
Player Points
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Tasmania JackJumpers v Illawarra Hawks

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