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Keith Thurman vs Manny Pacquiao - 'Pac Man' tipped to defend WBA welterweight title on points

Filipino champion looks to continue his recent revival against the unbeaten American
pacquiao thurman
Manny Pacquiao defends his WBA welterweight world title against Keith Thurman (Getty Images)

Manny Pacquiao vs Keith Thurman Preview, Predictions, Betting Tips & Live Stream

Manny Pacquiao puts his WBA welterweight world title on the line when he faces the unbeaten Keith Thurman at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas on July 21. The Filipino eight-weight world champion has enjoyed a revival during the latter stages of his career, while Thurman returned from a two-year injury layoff earlier this year.

What: Manny Pacquiao vs Keith Thurman for the WBA welterweight world title
Where: MGM Grand, Las Vegas, United States
When: Sunday, July 21 from 4am BST, Live on ITV Box Office

Keith Thurman History, Form & Betting Style 

Nationality: United States
Age: 30 (23/11/1988)
Professional record: 29-0-0 (22 KOs)
Height: 5ft 5in (166cm) 
Stance: Orthodox

It has been a rough couple of years for Keith Thurman, who was sidelined for nearly two years with an elbow injury before making his boxing return with an unconvincing majority points win over Josesito Lopez in January. 

Prior to his absence, Thurman had reeled off a succession of wins against good quality opposition, claiming points wins over Roberto Guerrero, Shawn Porter and Danny Garcia. While the American has an impressive knockout record, he has gone the distance in five of his past six fights, suggesting that his power has not transferred at elite level.

At a decade younger than Pacquiao, Thurman - who is a marginal outsider at 1.95 to win outright - certainly has age on his side, but he may still be struggling with ring rust given his time away from competitive action. 

Manny Pacquiao History, Form & Betting Style 

Nationality: The Philippines
Age: 40 (17/12/1978)
Professional record: 61-7-2 (39 KOs)
Height: 5ft 7in (171cm) 
Stance: Southpaw

After the subdued defeat to Jeff Horn in July 2017, it looked to be the end of Manny Pacquiao's long and illustrious career. The Filipino Senator was expected to hang up his gloves and dedicate his time and energy to politics after a 22-year career that saw him win world titles in eight-weight divisions.

Instead, Pacquiao decided to fight on and based on his past two bouts, it has proved a wise decision. The southpaw star bounced back to win the WBA world welterweight title with a seventh round stoppage of Lucas Matthysse - his first stoppage win in six years. Pacquiao then impressed in his first title defence with a dominant points win over the talented but controversial Adrien Broner in January.

The 'Pac Man' does not possess the ferocious punching power and blistering hand speed of his prime years, but he is still a dangerous operator performing at the top level, and despite being 40, he is still priced at 1.80 to beat Thurman.

Manny Pacquiao vs Keith Thurman Live Stream

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Manny Pacquiao vs Keith Thurman Key Stats

  • Knockout percentage: Manny Pacquiao - 39/70 (56%) / Keith Thurman - 22/29 (73%)
  • Fights To Go Full Distance: Pacquiao - 26/70 (37%) / Thurman - 7/29 (24%)


The bookies can't really split these fighters, but we are going with Pacquiao to deliver the victory. He was impressive last time out against Broner, while Thurman has not shared a ring with someone of Pacquiao's calibre in more than two years. Both fighters have struggled to deliver stoppages against top-level fighters, so we're expecting this to go the distance.

Best Bet: Fight To Go The Distance @ 1.44 at bet365 - 5 Units
Value Bet: Manny Pacquiao Win Outright @ 1.80 at bet365 - 3 Units

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