2022 Festival Plate Tips - 12/1 and 20/1 shots to back on St Patrick's Day

Jon Vine

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Last updated: 16 Mar 2022

Jon Vine 16 Mar 2022

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Ante-post tips and odds for the 2022 Festival Plate Handicap Chase
This handicap takes place on day three of the Cheltenham Festival on Thursday 17th March 2022
We've backed Fusil Raffles at 12/1
We're also backing Adrimel to run well at 20/1

Expired

Fusil Raffles ridden by jockey Daryl Jacob clears a fence on the way to winning the (Old) Two Farmers Crisps Novices' Chase (GBB Race) at Cheltenham. (Getty)

The second of three handicaps on St Patrick’s Day at the Cheltenham Festival is the Festival Plate. Ever since Canford and Slender dead-heated in the inaugural editions of the Plate in 1951, this two-and-a-half-mile handicap chase has provided fans with tremendous entertainment. This year’s renewal promises to be no different.

I’ve taken a look through the Festival Plate betting and listed several key ten-year trends, before picking out my best Cheltenham Festival tips.

2022 Festival Plate Odds

Name	Odds
Celebre D'allen	6/1
Imperial Alcazar	7/1
The Glancing Queen	8/1
Birchdale	8/1
Busselton	10/1
The Shunter	10/1
Grand Paradis	10/1
Bar	12/1

2022 Festival Plate Trends

All 10 of the last 10 winners had won a race over fences
All 10 of the last 10 winners had won between 19f and 21f
9 of the last 10 winners had previously run in a Graded race
8 of the last 10 winners had won during that season (two who didn’t had only run once that season)

2022 Festival Plate Runners

Celebre D'allen2022 Paddy Power Plate FavouriteGET 6/1 HERE

As with a few of the handicaps I’ve already covered, I’m looking at the runners towards the head of the betting for the Plate, and none really stand out. Celebre D’Allen is three-from-three in England, but this represents a steep step up in class for Philip Hobbs’ ten-year-old. While he’s clearly got plenty of class, it would be a big ask for novice Imperial Alcazar to win a handicap as competitive as this with 11-9 on his back.

The Glancing Queen is yet to experience the rigours of a large-field handicap. Birchdale is running off a 15-pound higher mark than when he won at the Dublin Racing Festival. Busselton hasn’t been treated particularly kindly by the British handicapper. Neither has defending champion The Shunter, who will run off a 15-pound higher mark than what he won off 12 months ago.

2022 Festival Plate Tips

Fusil Raffles E/W2022 Festival Plate TipsGET 12/1 HERE

Neither of my ante-post tips features in the final field, so I need a fresh selection for the newly named Irish Whiskey Co. Plate Handicap Chase.

I came close to tipping up FUSIL RAFFLES at the ante-post stage. Nicky Henderson's seven-year-old has won around the chase course at Cheltenham, followed Chantry House home in last year's Turners and flew home to finish fourth behind Coole Cody in the Racing Post Gold Cup back in December.

When Shan Blue fell at the last, Fusil Raffles picked up the pieces to win the Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby earlier in the season. Despite some excellent runs in handicaps and a Grade Two triumph, Fusil Raffles' mark has dropped by seven pounds since the spring. Daryl Jacob's mount could go very well in a wide open race, if he takes to the softer ground.

Adrimel E/W2022 Festival Plate TipsGET 20/1 HERE

After yesterday's deluge of rain, Thursday's going will come up in favour of ADRIMEL, who seems at his happiest on deeper ground. Tom Lacey's novice has won his last two races, the last coming on bottomless going at Haydock, and the handicapper only upped his mark by a pound for that success. On soft or heavy ground, Adrimel has won seven times in eight starts and is two-from-two since being fitted with cheek-pieces.

Irish Whiskey Plate Handicap Chase Tip 1 - FUSIL RAFFLES E/W

Irish Whiskey Plate Handicap Chase Tip 2 - ADRIMEL E/W

Verdict

2022 Paddy Power Plate

We've backed Fusil Raffles and Adrimel each way in this year's Paddy Power Plate.

Fusil Raffles

Each-Way

@12/1 - 8 Units

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Adrimel

Each-Way

@20/1 - 8 Units

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