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Ballymore 2023 Tips - Favourite can Passe this test

jon-vine
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Last updated: 14 Mar 2023
Jon Vine 14 Mar 2023
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  • Tips, odds and predictions for the 2023 Ballymore Novices' Hurdle
  • This Grade One takes place at 1:30pm on day two of the Cheltenham Festival
  • Impaire Et Passe is our best bet at 15/8
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Ballymore Novices' Hurdle Tips Odds Runners
Ballymore Novices' Hurdle. (Getty)

Ladies' Day at the Cheltenham festival kicks off with the Ballymore Novices' Hurdle. The Ballymore has produced many stars of the sport, with greats like Istabraq, Hardy Eustace and Faugheen featuring on the glittering roll of honour.

Here's our free guide and tips for the 2023 Ballymore Novices' Hurdle.

Cheltenham 2023 Tips - Ballymore Novices' Hurdle 2023 Guide


Ballymore 2023 Odds


Name
Odds
Impaire Et Passe15/8
Hermes Allen11/4
Gaelic Warrior4/1
Good Land9/2
Champ Kiely7/1
Inthepocket12/1
Irish Point14/1
Bar16/1

Ballymore 2023 Runners

In three of the last five years, the Ballymore has been won by an odds-on favourite. Thankfully, this year's renewal looks far from cut and dried. In fact, it promises to be one of the most exciting races of the entire meeting.

Hermes Allen jumped to the head of the betting following his victory in the Challow Hurdle - the form of which has been franked numerous times since. Paul Nicholls' star has barely seen a rival in his three starts over hurdles thus far, but Harry Cobden's front-runner could be vulnerable to a rival with a more potent turn-of-foot and, as Willie Mullins often says, you need a speed horse to win the Ballymore.

Talking of Willie Mullins, Ireland's Champion Trainer accounts for three of the first five in the betting. The highest-rated of that trio is Gaelic Warrior, following two easy maiden victories and a handicap triumph at the Dublin Racing Festival. Gaelic Warrior does, still, jump violently out to his right, an eccentricity that proved costly when the hot-favourite was beaten in the Boodles Handicap Hurdle last season. Gaelic Warrior couldn't get the job done off an incredibly lenient handicap mark of 129 that day and he's yet to run over further than two miles. He wouldn't be for me.

Impaire Et Passe, on the other hand, looks to have everything you need to win a Ballymore. Mullins' five-year-old has jumped very nicely on both of his hurdles starts, winning easily over 19-furlongs on his hurdles debut before six-length triumph back down over two in the Moscow Flyer. Impaire Et Passe clearly has bundles of ability and a fantastic engine to boot. Yet, of the main contenders in this season's Ballymore, his literal form is arguably the weakest, making his current odds of 7/2 seem a little on the skinny side.

Champ Kiely deserves a big mention, having held off Irish Point to win the Lawlor's Of Naas on his most recent start at Navan. Despite that Grade One triumph, Champ Kiely sits behind both Gaelic Warrior and Impaire Et Passe in the market, which would indicate the Closutton pecking order. He may not have as much natural ability as the aforementioned duo, but at 8/1, Champ Kiely offers decent value.

As does Barry Connell's Good Land, who ran out an impressive winner of the Nathaniel Lacy at the Dublin Racing Festival. I've already tipped his stablemate, Marine Nationale to win the Supreme Novices' Hurdle on day one and it would be incredible if Connell did manage to seal a Grade One double at the Cheltenham Festival. I am a little worried that Good Land had a hard race over 22-furlongs at Leopardstown. A recovery time of 40 days may not quite be enough.

Ballymore 2023 Tips

Now that Inthepocket has been switched to the Supreme Novices' Hurdle, I need a new selection for the Ballymore. Before taking the each-way option, I almost tipped up IMPAIRE ET PASSE at the ante-post stage so he'll take over as my sole selection.

No horse has been as popular on the preview show circuit as Impaire Et Passe. Every guest who was in any way connected with Willie Mullins' yard thinks he'll win. Most pundits - unless connected with Paul Nicholls - are going with Impaire Et Passe too. The only one to side against the new favourite was Tony Mullins, which isn't surprising, seeing as his son Danny will ride Champ Kiely.

Those positive mentions have seen Impaire Et Passe's price collapse, but you're still getting a decent amount of value at 15/8. Willie Mullins was certain his five-year-old would improve for this step up in trip and all of his three victories have come on soft or heavy ground. 

Verdict

Impaire Et Passe is our best bet in this year's Ballymore.


Ballymore 2023 Tips: Impaire Et Passe Straight Win @15/8 at BoyleSports - 25 Units
Impaire Et Passe
Straight Win
@15/8 - 25 Units
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