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HEROIC vs Natus Vincere Tips & Predictions – Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024

tit-krajnik
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Last updated: 12 Oct 2024
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Tit Krajnik 12 Oct 2024
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  • HEROIC vs Natus Vincere Counter-Strike betting predictions for Saturday, October 12, 2024, in the semifinals of Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 (17:00 CEST)
  • HEROIC are expected to lose
  • Natus Vincere are the leading candidates to win the trophy
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Heroic
Team Heroic (Getty Images)

HEROIC vs Natus Vincere Predictions


HEROIC and Natus Vincere will lock horns on Saturday, October 12, in the semifinals of Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024, as both teams chase a ticket for the grand finals. While both sides have shown a lot this tournament, betting sites have priced NaVi as the clear favourites to come out ahead.
  • HEROIC vs Natus Vincere Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • HEROIC Form
  • HEROIC Squad & Team News
  • Natus Vincere Form
  • Natus Vincere Squad & Team News

HEROIC enter the upcoming series as 3.40 underdogs to defeat Natus Vincere, who are priced as 1.30 favourites on Stake. This gives NaVi a 76.9% implied probability of winning the series, which, considering their past showings, does not sound too wrong.

  • HEROIC have exceeded expectations in Rio
  • Natus Vincere are in excellent form
  • NaVi (#1) are better ranked then HEROIC (#16)

Head to Head


HEROIC and Natus Vincere met once, in May, during IEM Dallas 2024, when HEROIC won.

HEROIC 2-0 Natus Vincere – May 29, 2024

HEROIC Form


HEROIC have significantly exceeded expectations in Brazil, as they have made it to the semifinals of an S-Tier tournament for the first time since May, when they ended their BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024 #1 campaign in the final four.

Since their remarkable run in Serbia, HEROIC have been struggling, especially in more significant events, and in September, they crashed out of ESL Pro League Season 20 in ninth-12th place. However, even in Malta, HEROIC have shown some glimpses, with a 4-3 record and they continued posting solid results in Brazi.

They enter this match off victories against G2 Esports (13-10), Astralis (2-0), and Team Vitality (2-0), which is nothing to sneeze at. However, given their past success or lack thereof agianst stronger Counter-Strike teams, it is fair to question whether that run was just a flash in the pan.

HEROIC Squad & Team News


HEROIC have not announced any roster changes.

  • René "TeSeS" Madsen
  • Rasmus "sjuush" Beck
  • Guy "NertZ" Iluz
  • Damjan "kyxsan" Stoilkovski
  • Abdulkhalik "degster" Gasanov

Natus Vincere Form


Natus Vincere are the highest-ranked Counter-Strike team in the world and arguably the best squad remaining in the race for the IEM Rio 2024 trophy.

They travelled to Brazil with a seriously impressive streak of results. They placed second at BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024 and Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2024 and won ESL Pro League Season 20. Over that stretch, they've lost just two series – one against G2 Esports and one against Team Vitality.

At IEM Rio 2024, Natus Vincere have not looked as potent, with a 13-2 victory against Imperial Esports and a 2-1 win against Liquid, whereas their final group stage series ended in a 0-2 loss against FURIA.

NaVi found a bit more success against Virtus.pro in the quarterfinals and won 2-0; however, they dropped 11 rounds on Ancient, once again showing that Ancient is not their most dominant map despite the high 85% win rate.

Natus Vincere Squad & Team News


No roster changes for Natus Vincere.

  • Valerij "b1t" Vakhovsjkyj
  • Aleksi "Aleksib" Virolainen
  • Justinas "jL" Lekavičius
  • Mihai "iM" Ivan
  • Ihor "w0nderful" Zhdanov

Verdict

Natus Vincere are the clear favourites for this match but there is a case to be made for HEROIC at this number. Even though HEROIC have not won nearly as much as NaVi this season, their form is excellent and HEROIC have already proven they can dance with the best CS teams in the world.

Especially if we look at the individual form of the players, TeSeS and NertZ stand out as the third and fourth-best performing players of the tournament, with sjuush close behind with 1.25. Not a single NaVi player is ranked inside the top eight this event.

Map pool-wise, Natus Vincere have an edge with a better win rate on all maps except for Vertigo. Yet that number is a bit skewed as NaVi have not looked good on Ancient, and their showings on Mirage haven't been excellent either – despite a 86% win rate.

HEROIC look posied to win at least one map.

Best Bet1: HEROIC +1.5 Maps Map Handicap @17/25 at Betgoodwin - 3 Units
Best Bet2: HEROIC To Win Moneyline @12/5 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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12 Oct 2024

HEROIC v Natus Vincere