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Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Live Stream & Tips - Double chance value in A-League Grand Final

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: 28 May 2025
Andrew Hendrie 28 May 2025
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  • Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory predictions for Saturday's A-League Grand Final
  • Victory are unbeaten in 7 recent meetings with City.
  • Both teams boast strong recent form ahead of derby final at AAMI Park
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Melbourne City Melbourne Victory
City and Victory clash in the Grand Final on Saturday (Photo Getty Images)


A-League Grand Final Preview - Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory


Rivals Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory clash in the A-League Grand Final with the game a coin-flip. 
  • A-League Grand Final Preview - Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory
  • Head To Head
  • Melbourne City Form
  • Melbourne City Team News
  • Melbourne Victory Form
  • Melbourne Victory Team News

Victory are unbeaten in all three Melbourne derbies this season and I like the value for them in the Double Chance market to Lift The Cup and win in 90 minutes.

  • Melbourne City have lost 3 of their last 4 Grand Finals
  • Melbourne Victory are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings between the teams
  • Nishan Velupillay was the first goalscorer when Victory beat City 3-1 earlier this season

Head To Head


Victory are unbeaten against City in the last seven meetings between the teams. City last defeated Victory all the way back in 2023. 

City have lost three of their last four Grand Finals, while Victory are chasing their fifth Grand Final triumph and first since toppling the Newcastle Jets 1-0 in 2018.

Melbourne City Form


City finished the regular season in second spot on the ladder with a 14-6-6 record, conceding just 25 goals in what ended up being the stingiest defence in the A-League.

Marco Tilio returned from injury and has been one of the form players in the competition over the last month, with the winger having a massive impact in City's run to the Grand Final.

Aurelio Vidmar's side demolished Sydney FC 5-1 in the final game of the regular season to secure second place and a week off, with the team only needing to overcome Western United to reach the Grand Final.

City were dominant over the two legs, easing to a 4-1 aggregate triumph, with the damage done in a comprehensive 3-0 win in the first leg.

Melbourne City Team News


Key players Andrew Nabbout and James Jeggo remain sidelined for the Grand Final.

Vidmar is expected to stick with the same formation that conquered Western United, with Max Caputo starting up front, with Tilio on the left and Yonatan Cohen on the right.

The experienced back four of Nathaniel Atkinson, Aziz Behich, Kai Trewin and German Ferreyra should also retain their places.

Melbourne Victory Form


It was a turbulent season at times for Victory, but they are peaking when it matters most after ending the campaign in fifth spot with a 12-7-7 record.

There was lots of controversy under Kisnorbo's tutelage, including the whole Daniel Arzani saga at the beginning of the season, but after Arthur Diles settled into his new head coaching role, the team began to click.

Arzani is playing his best football in years, while Bruno Fornaroli continues to be a key figure, starting in the crucial second leg away to minor premiers Auckland FC last week and scoring the decisive goal that saw Victory advance 2-1 on aggregate.

After dispatching the Wanderers in the elimination finals, Victory had it all to do after going down 1-0 to Auckland, but a brilliant performance across the Tasman saw the four-time Grand Final winners secure another chance for silverware.

Melbourne Victory Team News


Diles made a big call in starting Fornaroli in place of Nikos Vergos last week against Auckland and it ultimately paid massive dividends, so it wouldn't be surprising if the experienced striker retained his starting spot up front for the Grand Final.

Victory are arguably equipped with the most lethal attack in the A-League, with Arzani on the left and Velupillay on the right, while Zinedine Machach operates in the middle.

Ryan Teague produced a masterclass in midfield in the second leg against Auckland, but the key to Victory is captain and centre back Roderick Miranda, who recovered from a leg injury that caused him to miss the first leg. 

Miranda was immense in the second leg and will be chasing his first top-league premiership after an illustrious career.

Verdict

In what I believe to be a 50-50 Grand Final, Victory hold the value. I'm backing them in a low-scoring affair, with Nishan Velupillay repeating his efforts from earlier in the season and opening the scoring.

Best Bet1: Victory Double Chance @8/11 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Victory Win Full-Time Result @9/4 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Nishan Velupillay First Goalscorer @9/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Victory 1-0 Correct Score @11/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Victory
Double Chance
@8/11 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
Victory Win
Full-Time Result
@9/4 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

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Bet at bet365
Nishan Velupillay
First Goalscorer
@9/1 - 1 Unit
Bet £50 to get £25 in Free Bets
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Bet £50 to Get a £25 Free Bet. Offer available to new customers only signing up with Promo Code only. Full T&C's apply. 18+. Gambleaware.org

Bet at Star Sports
Victory 1-0
Correct Score
@11/1 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets

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