Ethiopia vs Kenya - Bet on goals in open contest

Hosts to grab vital three points
Ethiopia vs Kenya Match Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips
Hosts Ethiopia tipped to serve up goalfest against Kenya (Getty Images)

Ethiopia vs Kenya Match Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


Ethiopia and Kenya will face each other at the Bahir Dar Stadium in a Group F clash in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. The hosts have been in decent form at home in their recent matches and should secure a win on Wednesday.

Ethiopia


Ethiopia secured a 1-0 home victory against Sierra Leone in their last outing in the qualifiers. Getaneh Kebede’s penalty on 38 minutes proved to be the difference as they claimed their first win of the series.

The the result against Sierra Leone has however since been made void after the West Africans were suspended by FIFA for government interference and thrown out of the qualifiers. The decision means that Abraham Mebratu's team are bottom of the standings with no points.

Mebratu has invited 25 players for the double header against Kenya with Egypt based striker Gatoch Panom likely to lead the line. Panom should partner Kebede in attack with both men expected to build on their recent good form.

Kenya


The Harambee Stars were also victorious in their last fixture as they claimed a shock win over West African giants Ghana. They were second best for much of the contest but secured the win thanks to a fortunate own goal from visiting defender Nicolas Opoku.

Sebastien Migne’s team are one of the beneficiaries of Sierra Leone’s expulsion by FIFA as their 2-1 defeat to the Leone Stars has also been voided. They remain top of the group, level on three points with second place Ghana.

Midfielder Victor Wanyama makes a return to the squad after missing the match against Ghana through injury. The Tottenham man is expected to start in midfield behind the impressive attacking pair of Ovella Ochieng and Michael Olunga.

Kenya will have Victor Wanyama of Tottenham Hotspur available for Ethiopia clash (Getty Images)

Key Statistics 


There have been only six previous matches involving Ethiopia and Kenya with the wins evenly split at two apiece. The most recent meeting between both teams was a clash in the African Nations Championship in 2015 which ended goalless.

Match-Up 


Ethiopia will be looking to the double threat of Panom and Kebede for goals on Wednesday. Both men have a great understanding in attack and should have too much for David Ochieng and Erick Ouma.

Kenya also have a potent forward line of their own with Ochieng and Olunga in attack. Both men will expect to get the better of Anteneh Tesfaye and Ahmed Reshid in the Ethiopia defence.

Key Statistics


  • Ethiopia have won 3 of their last 4 home matches (AFCON Qualifiers).
  • Ethiopia have seen Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches (AFCON Qualifiers).
  • Kenya have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches (All Competitions).
  • Kenya have seen Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 11 matches (All Competitions).

Verdict 


Ethiopia usually do well in front of their fans and are favourites to claim the win on Wednesday. Both teams are also decent going forward and look set to serve up goals in this one.

Best Bet: Ethiopia Win @ 1.92 – 4 Units
Value Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.27 – 3 Units

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