Zambia vs Guinea Bissau - Hosts set to claim slim win in Ndola

Struggling attacks to serve up cagey encounter
Zambia vs Guinea Bissau Match Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips
Zambia should have too much for visitors Guinea Bissau (Getty Images)

Zambia vs Guinea Bissau Match Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


Zambia will attempt to secure their first win of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers when they host Guinea Bissau in a Group K clash at the Levy Mwanawasa Stadium. The home team have struggled lately but look likely to bounce back with a slim win on Wednesday.

Zambia


The Chipolopolo earned a 1-1 draw away in Namibia in their previous fixture in the qualifying series back in September. They fell behind deep into the second half and had to leave it late before Justin Shonga rescued a point.

The Southern African team has struggled in recent fixtures and are attempting to regain their best form under new manager Sven Vandenbroeck who enjoyed success as Cameroon assistant coach at the 2017 AFCON. They are winless in the qualifiers and currently sit third in the standings with one point.

Vandenbroeck has named a strong squad for the double header against Guinea Bissau with Shonga keeping his place in the team. The striker is expected to start up front with Orlando Pirates team-mate Augustine Mulenga and both men will hope to bring their club form to the national team.

Experienced coach Sven Vandenbroeck will hope to turn things around for Zambia following his success as Cameroon assistant Getty Images)

Guinea Bissau


Djurtus were held to a thrilling 2-2 draw away at Mozambique in their previous outing in the AFCON qualifiers. They had to come from behind twice as goals from Carlos Embalo and Frederic Mendy ensured they earned a point in Maputo.

The West Africans have been in terrible form lately with the draw in Maputo ending a run of three straight defeats. Baciro Cande's men are however still top of the standings with four points having begun their campaign with a 1-0 victory over Namibia.

Embalo and Mendy have both been included in Cande's 21-man squad for the two matches against Zambia. Both men are expected to continue their partnership in attack after combining to earn the team a draw last time out.

Head-to-Head


Zambia and Guinea Bissau faced each other twice during the qualifiers for the 2017 AFCON with the West Africans going unbeaten in both matches. Cande's team earned a goalless draw away from home before claiming a 3-2 win in Bissau.

Match-Up


Shonga and Mulenga could be the ones to watch for Zambia on Wednesday. Both men already have a great partnership at club level and should combine well to get the better of Eddi Gomes and Juary Soares in the Bissau-Guinean defence.

At the other end, the duo is Solomon Sakala and Isaac Shamujompa will be confident of shutting out Embalo and Mendy.

Zambia forward Augustine Mulenga could prove to be the key man for the hosts (Getty Images)

Key Statistics


  • Zambia have seen Under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 home matches (AFCON Qualifiers).
  • Zambia have won 6 of their last 13 home matches (AFCON Qualifiers).
  • Guinea Bissau have lost 6 of their last 8 matches (All Competitions).
  • Guinea Bissau have seen Under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 12 away matches (All Competitions). 

Verdict


The Zambians appear to be turning a corner under manager Sven Vandenbroeck, Guinea Bissau have a terrible recent record and are likely to lose to the hosts.

Zambia do not score a lot of goals at home and this might be a low scoring affair.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.60 - 4 Units
Value Bet: Zambia Win @ 1.87 - 3 Units
Correct Score Bet: Zambia Win 1-0 @ 6.00 - 2 Units

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