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Sport Recife vs Bahia Predictions & Tips - Hosts tipped to win crunch relegation battle

By Ralph Staniforth

16 Nov 2021

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Ralph Staniforth 16 Nov 2021

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Sport Recife vs Bahia Predictions for Friday’s Brasileirão match
Fixture is being played at 00:00 GMT at Itaipava Arena Pernambuco
Bahia have failed to score in 7 of their last 9 away matches
Can Sport Recife close the gap to safety with a home win?
Preview, tips, team news & stats

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Sport Recife backed for important three points (Getty Images)

Sport Recife vs Bahia Predictions

Sport Recife are in desperate need of a win to keep their hopes of survival alive. Bahia are very poor in away matches and rarely score. I am tipping a narrow home victory.

Sport Recife have won 3 of their last 5 home matches (Brasileirão).
Sport Recife have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 4 home matches (Brasileirão).
Sport Recife have won their last 3 matches against Bahia (Brasileirão).
Bahia have lost 3 of their last 6 away matches (2 draws) (Brasileirão).
Bahia have failed to score in 7 of their last 9 away matches (Brasileirão).

Head to Head

Bahia hold an 11-10 advantage against Sport Recife across 24 previous meetings with three draws.

Sport Recife won 1-0 away at Bahia when the sides last met in August.

Sport Recife Form

Sport Recife sit in the relegation zone with a five point gap to safety having played two more matches. They have scored the least goals in the division (20).

Consecutive away defeats were followed by a rare win at home to Atlético Goianiense (2-0). A 1-0 loss at Fluminense preceded a 3-2 home loss to América Mineiro have come from 2-0 down to 2-2 with ten men.

Their last match saw a 2-1 defeat at Ceara. Recife produced 2.07 xG, had 61% possession and 17 shots in a strong performance that deserved more.

Sport Recife Injuries & Team News

Recife have three long-term injuries to deal with. Central midfielders Thiago Lopes and Joao Igor miss out as does winger Neilton.

Leandro Barcia is doubtful on the right flank having missed the last five matches. Mikael is crucial up front having netted 13 goals with the next best having just two to their name.

Bahia Form

Bahia come into this match sitting 16th but are only outside the drop zone on goal difference. Their last eight matches have seen three wins and four draws.

After consecutive goalless draws, Bahia beat Chapecoense 3-0 at home and drew 1-1 at home with Ceara. A 0-0 stalemate followed at Juventude before a strong 1-0 win against Sao Paulo having outshot their opponents 16-10.

Their seven-match unbeaten run was ended in their last match in a 3-0 loss at Flamengo. They played 48 minutes with a man less.

Bahia Injuries & Team News

Left-back Matheus Bahia is suspended for this match. Right winger Rossi also misses out after a red card.

Centre forward Gilberto has 23 goals this season in all competitions and will be key. He averages a goal every 165 minutes this term.

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Verdict

Sport Recife v Bahia

Sport Recife are playing better than results suggest. I am tipping them to nick a narrow home win in this relegation tussle.

BTTS No

BTTS

@13/16 - 3 Units

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

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Sport Recife Win

Full Time Result

@28/17 - 1 Unit

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365