2019 Copa America Outright Winner Tip - Argentina to end era of heartache

Lionel Scaloni to guide Albiceleste to glory
Argentina have made four of the last five Copa America finals without lifting the trophy but that could change in 2019. (Getty Images)
Argentina have made four of the last five Copa America finals without lifting the trophy but that could change in 2019. (Getty Images)

2019 Copa America Outright Winner Odds, Predictions & Betting Tips


The 2019 Copa America from 21 June to 14 July in Brazil presents South America’s big guns with a chance to make up for FIFA World Cup disappointment. The all-European semifinals surely stung the likes of Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay and all of them will be hungry to touch silverware again.

Argentina lost the last two Copa America finals on penalties to Chile and are aiming to finally make amends. Lionel Scaloni’s men and hosts Brazil are likely to be among the main contenders whilst there are teams who can upset the apple cart.

I am tipping Argentina for the tournament victory at 5.50 as I think a combination of big game experience and big name players will be enough to see them over the line. The 2019 Copa America promises to be a fascinating tournament regardless of who lifts it.

2019 Copa America Winner Betting Odds


Brazil are the bookies' favourites with Argentina rated as the next most likely team to win. The Albiceleste are followed by Uruguay, Chile, Colombia and Peru with Venezuela, Japan, Paraguay and Ecuador rounding up the top 10.

Nation
Odds
Brazil2.38
Argentina5.50
Uruguay9.00
Colombia11.00
Chile12.00
Peru26.00
Venezuela41.00
Japan41.00
Paraguay41.00
Ecuador51.00

Argentina Form & Team News


Argentina have treaded a fine line between success and heartache in recent years and perhaps haven’t received due credit for their consistency. A FIFA World Cup final defeat to Germany in Brazil in 2014 was followed by Copa America final losses to Chile in 2015 and 2016.

Both Copa America defeats came via penalties and Argentina will be hungry to go one step further after losing in the last 16 to eventual champions France at last year’s FIFA World Cup. Lionel Messi and Sergio Aguero both head into this tournament off the back of tremendous seasons and can lead the charge to glory.

Lionel Scaloni has shown that he is not afraid to crack the whip, excluding the likes of Mauro Icardi, Gonzalo Higuain, Ever Banega and Marcos Rojo from his squad. This is an approach which some may disagree with but might prove as successful as it did for France boss Didier Deschamps.

There is value in backing Argentina for the tournament win at 5.50 given their big tournament experience and the lack of challengers on their level. Argentina will face Colombia, Paraguay and Qatar in Group B. 

X-Factor: Lionel Messi, Sergio Aguero
Banana peel: Record of losing finals

Odds: 5.50

Lionel Messi can lead Argentina to glory at the 2019 Copa America. (Getty Images)
European Golden Shoe winner Lionel Messi can lead Argentina to glory at the 2019 Copa America. (Getty Images)

Brazil Form & Team News


The last six years have produced disappointments galore for Brazil with heartbreak at two FIFA World Cups and two Copa America tournaments. Tite remains in his job despite last year’s World Cup quarter-final defeat at the hands of Belgium but life will not be easy for him.

Brazil have plenty of talented players in their squad such as Alisson, Fernandinho and David Neres but Neymar remains the standout name. The Paris Saint-Germain star returned to action in April after a lengthy injury layoff and has since had a mixed degree of success.

Neymar’s good goalscoring form on the field has been overshadowed by widespread criticism of his behaviour off it and his recent confrontation with a supporter did little to help his image. 

Brazil were humiliated 7-1 on home soil in the 2014 FIFA World Cup semifinals against Germany and the best way to avoid a repeat is to keep Neymar focused and out of the limelight. This might be a task easier said than done.

The Selecao can be backed to win the Copa America at 2.38 due to their home advantage and star-studded squad. Recent times have proven that expectation can lead to heartache and the first step will be to make it out of Group A featuring Bolivia, Peru and Venezuela.

X-Factor: Home ground advantage
Banana peel: Heavy expectations

Odds: 2.38

Brazil head coach Tite carries the weight of a nation on his shoulders as he looks to deliver the Copa America on home soil. (Getty Images)
Brazil head coach Tite carries the weight of a nation on his shoulders as he looks to deliver the Copa America title on home soil. (Getty Images)

Uruguay Form & Team News


Uruguay lifted the Copa America in 2011 with the golden generation of Luis Suarez, Edinson Cavani and Diego Forlan all in or approaching peak form. Standards have slipped since then with La Celeste struggling to find players to match those that helped them become a powerhouse.

At least head coach Oscar Tabarez is still around to pass on the wisdom which led Uruguay to success. Nobody in the history of football has ever acquired as much experience with one national team as Tabarez has with Uruguay and his players will need him to put it to good use.

La Celeste’s first task is to make it out of the tricky Group C which will see Uruguay face Chile, Ecuador and Japan.

X-Factor: Luis Suarez
Banana peel: Ageing stars

Odds: 9.00

Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani have starred for the Uruguayan national team in recent years. (Getty Images)
Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani have starred for the Uruguayan national team in recent years. (Getty Images)

Colombia Form & Team News


Colombia head into the 2019 Copa America off the back of a steady eight years. A run of five knockout appearances in a row at the Copa America and FIFA World Cup suggests Los Cafeteros are likely to make it out of Group B featuring Argentina, Paraguay and Qatar.

The experienced Carlos Queiroz takes charge of his first major tournament in his new job. The former Manchester United assistant and Real Madrid manager has presided over the national teams of Portugal, the United Arab Emirates, South Africa and Iran.

Queiroz thus undoubtedly possesses an impressive CV but one thing he lacks is a major international trophy. Changing that will be a tough ask with a Colombia side which has not lifted one since 2001.

Colombia will need the likes of Radamel Falcao and Duvan Zapata firing on all cylinders upfront if they are to claim an unlikely tournament victory.

X-Factor: Depth in strike force
Banana peel: Lack of recent titles

Odds: 11.00

Experienced striker Falcao can lead Colombia to glory at the 2019 Copa America. (Getty Images)
Experienced striker Falcao can lead Colombia to glory at the 2019 Copa America. (Getty Images)

Chile Form & Team News


Chile are double defending Copa America champions but all indications are that their golden years are behind them. Failure to qualify for the 2018 FIFA World Cup was followed by the appointment of Reinaldo Rueda as head coach and he has a tough task ahead of him.

This tournament could present Alexis Sanchez with a chance to rediscover his best form. He has not been firing on all cylinders for Manchester United but a new environment might help the former Barcelona and Arsenal star rediscover his winning touch.

Chile’s fortunes are likely to largely depend on Sanchez although Rueda does have other experienced players to choose from such as Mauricio Isla and Arturo Vidal. The first task for La Roja is to get out of Group C featuring Ecuador, Japan and Uruguay.

X-Factor: Recent winning history
Banana peel: Loss of form among star players

Odds: 12.00

arturo alexis
Arturo Vidal and Alexis Sanchez have been two of the main catalysts behind Chile's recent success. (Getty Images)

Peru Form & Team News


Ricardo Gareca’s Peru is one of the less-fancied teams to keep an eye on at the 2019 Copa America. La Blanquirroja have made it to the Copa America quarter-finals eight times in a row and should not be counted out in Group A with Bolivia, Brazil and Venezuela.

Pushing on from there will be a difficult task for Peru but they did make the semifinals as recently as 2015. Paolo Guerrero starred for La Blanquirroja in that tournament and Peru’s all-time top goalscorer can play a starring role again.

Peru last won the Copa America in 1975 and although a repeat is unlikely, stranger things have happened in football.

X-Factor: Good record in recent years
Banana peel: Lack of star names

Odds: 26.00

Paolo Guerrero has starred for Peru in recent Copa America tournaments and can provide inspiration for his country in 2019. (Getty Images)
Paolo Guerrero has starred for Peru in recent Copa America tournaments and can provide inspiration for his country in 2019. (Getty Images)

Paraguay Form & Team News


Paraguay will be another interesting team to watch at the 2019 Copa America as they look to live up to the legacy left by the likes of Roque Santa Cruz and Paulo da Silva. Santa Cruz made the preliminary squad for this year’s tournament aged 37 before eventually being cut. 

Head coach Eduardo Berizzo has been tasked with passing the torch to the new generation. The likes of Miguel Almiron and Antonio Sanabria feature alongside older players like Oscar Cardozo in Los Guaranies’ squad.

Paraguay’s first task is to escape from Group C, a challenge which shouldn’t be underestimated given that they will be up against Argentina and Colombia as well as Qatar.

X-Factor: New talents emerging
Banana Peel: Poor form in recent years

Odds: 41.00

Eduardo Berizzo has a big job to do as he looks to restore the glory days for Paraguay in the 2019 Copa America. (Getty Images)
Eduardo Berizzo has a big job to do as he looks to restore the glory days for Paraguay in the 2019 Copa America. (Getty Images)

Key Statistics


  • Argentina have reached the final in 3 of their last 4 major tournaments (all competitions).
  • Argentina have reached 4 of the last 5 Copa America finals.
  • Argentina’s Lionel Messi won the European Golden Shoe for 2018/19 with 36 goals (La Liga).
  • Argentina are undefeated in 16 matches excluding penalties (Copa America).

Verdict


Brazil and Argentina are the two favourites for the 2019 Copa America but the Albiceleste’s recent experience in big matches may well give them the edge. The value lies in backing Argentina to win the tournament at 5.50.

Best Bet: Argentina to win @ 5.50 at bet365 - 3 Units

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