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Aston Villa vs Arsenal Predictions & Tips - Gunners to bounce back in the EPL

  • Aston Villa vs Arsenal predictions for Saturday’s Premier League match
  • The game is being played at 12.30pm GMT at Villa Park
  • Arsenal have won 7 of their last 9 matches against Aston Villa
  • I am backing Arsenal to win in Birmingham
  • Preview, stats, team news & predictions
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang set to start against Aston Villa on Saturday (Getty Images)
Mat Marshall 04 Feb 2021
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Aston Villa vs Arsenal Predictions


Arsenal can overtake Aston Villa with a win in Birmingham and are likely to take that opportunity. Villa’s defence is looking shaky with fatigue and lack of squad depth starting to take a toll. 

  • Aston Villa have seen BTTS in 2 of their last 3 matches (Premier League).
  • Aston Villa have lost 5 of their last 7 matches (all competitions).
  • Arsenal have won 7 of their last 9 matches against Aston Villa (all competitions).
  • Arsenal have won 5 of their last 7 away matches against Aston Villa (all competitions).
  • Arsenal have seen BTTS in their last 2 away matches (Premier League).
  • Arsenal have won 3 of their last 4 away matches (Premier League).

Head to Head


Arsenal have an 83-68 advantage against Aston Villa with 45 draws in 196 matches.

Arsenal won seven straight encounters but Aston Villa have won the last two. Villa won 1-0 at home last season and 3-0 in London in November.

Aston Villa Form


Aston Villa have lost 5 of their last 7 matches in all competitions. They lost 3 in a row before getting back to winning ways with a 2-0 home win against Newcastle. 

Dean Smith’s side then lost 3-2 at Burnley despite having 62% possession, 18-10 shots and 2.71-0.72 expected goals.

Aston Villa were fortunate to win 1-0 win in Southampton. They withstood some heavy pressure in the second half and fortunate to keep a clean sheet.

Villa’s last match was a 3-1 home defeat against West Ham. Ollie Watkins hit the woodwork in the first half and got them back into the game in the 81st minute, but they conceded again 2 minutes later.

Aston Villa Injuries & Team News


Aston Villa centre back Kortney Hause is injured and Brazilian striker Wesley is slowly making his way back having been sidelined for over a year.

Villa recently signed Marseille midfielder Morgan Sanson, he came off the bench against West Ham and could start here. 

Expect winger Bertrand Traoré to replace Anwar El Ghazi in the starting side.

Ollie Watkins is starting to find some form up front with 3 goals in his last 4 matches.

Arsenal Form


Arsenal’s unbeaten six-game run came to an end in a 1-0 defeat against Southampton in the FA Cup. They failed to take their chances at St Mary's as Mikel Arteta rested some key players.

Arteta brought Thomas Partey, Emile Smith Rowe, Bukayo Saka and Alexandre Lacazette into the starting side for another game in Southampton in the Premier League and won 3-1.

The Gunners then hosted Man United and came away with a 0-0 draw. 

Arsenal were in complete control at Wolverhampton on Wednesday and should have been more than 1-0 up when David Luiz was sent off in the 44th minute. They fell 2-1 behind and went down to 9 men when goalkeeper Bernd Leno was sent off in the 72nd minute.

Arsenal Injures & Team News


Bernd Leno is suspended with Runar Alex Runarsson likely to start ahead of an unfit Mat Ryan. 

Arsenal have appealed David Luiz's red card. If it is unsuccessful expect Gabriel to partner Rob Holding in central defence. Pablo Mari is close to returning from injury and left back Kieren Tierney is doubtful.

Emile Smith Rowe competes with new signing Martin Odegaard for an attacking midfield spot. 

Arsenal captain Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang made his return off the bench against Wolves and should start here.

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Verdict

Aston Villa’s defence has looked ordinary in their last two matches. Arsenal were very unlucky on Wednesday and can bounce back with a win.

Best Bet: BTTS Yes BTTS @-161.29 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Arsenal Win Full Time Result @170.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units
Correct Score Tip: Arsenal Win 3-1 Correct Score @2000.0 at Borgata Sports - 1 Unit

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