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Brighton vs Leeds Predictions & Tips - Back a Leeds Win and Over 2.5 Goals

  • Brighton vs Leeds predictions for Saturday’s Premier League match
  • The game is being played at 3:00 pm BST at the Amex Stadium
  • Leeds have won 3 of their last 5 matches
  • I am tipping a Leeds win and over 2.5 goals
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
Leeds United
Leeds have seen over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 12 away matches (Getty Images)
Alex Waite 29 Apr 2021
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Brighton vs Leeds Predictions


Brighton have lost a lot of matches in the Premier League. Leeds look like a tough side to beat and have picked up impressive results against top teams.

I am backing a Leeds win and over 2.5 goals. 

  • Brighton have lost 5 of their last 9 matches (Premier League)
  • Brighton have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 home matches (Premier League)
  • Leeds have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches (Premier League)
  • Leeds have seen over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 12 away matches (all competitions)
  • Leeds have won 3 of their last 5 matches (Premier League)
  • Leeds have won their last 2 away matches (Premier League)

Head-to-Head


Leeds have an 18-17 advantage against Brighton with 11 matches drawn. 

Brighton Form 


Brighton lost 1-0 away to Sheffield United on Saturday, extending their winless run in the Premier League to four matches.

Brighton conceded early on but couldn't score, despite dominating with 68% possession, 17 shots and 2.06 expected goals.

Graham Potter’s side have lost five of their last nine Premier League matches, leaving them in 17th place in the Premier League. 

Recent wins over Southampton and Newcastle and goalless draws with Everton and Chelsea keep Brighton seven points off the relegation places. 

Brighton Injuries & Team News


Defender Ben White will return to the squad after his suspension.

Forward Percy Tau is doubtful with a hamstring injury. 

Midfielder Solly March, defender Tariq Lamptey and striker Florin Andone are ruled out through injury. 

Leeds Form


Leeds held Man United to a 0-0 draw at Elland Road on Sunday, extending their unbeaten run to six matches.

Leeds had few chances and just six shots but they defended resolutely to prevent Man United from scoring. 

It was Leeds’ second consecutive draw in the Premier League following a 1-1 result against Liverpool.

The Yorkshire side were on a three-match winning streak, beating Man City and Fulham away and Sheffield United at home. 

Good form has moved Marcelo Bielsa’s side into ninth and eight points off the Europa League places. 

Leeds Injuries & Team News


Forward Rodrigo should return to the squad this weekend.

Wingers Raphinha and Helder Costa are doubtful due to injury.

Defender Liam Cooper will be unavailable due to suspension and midfielder Adam Forshaw is ruled out with a muscular injury.

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Verdict

Brighton will be short on confidence after their disappointing loss to Sheffield United. They have also struggled for home wins all season. 

Leeds are in excellent form but have seen a lot of goals in their away matches this season. I am tipping a Leeds win and over 2.5 goals.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals Total Goals @-111.11 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Leeds Win Full Time Result @235.00 at Unibet - 2 Units
Correct Score Tip: Leeds Win 2-1 Correct Score @1200.0 at Borgata Sports - 1 Unit

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