Fortuna Sittard vs Emmen - Goalmouth action expected between high-scoring strugglers

Defensive weaknesses to be exploited in Eredivisie relegation dogfight
k scherpen
FC Emmen goalkeeper Kjell Scherpen has conceded 57 goals in 25 Eredivisie fixtures this season. (Getty Images)

Fortuna Sittard vs Emmen Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


Fortuna Sittard and FC Emmen go head-to-head in a potentially decisive fixture in the Eredivisie’s survival race. There is little to separate the two sides in terms of form, both have been porous in defence and I am tipping over 3.5 goals for Friday’s fixture at the Offermans Joosten Stadion at 2.20.

Fortuna Sittard Form & Team News


Fortuna Sittard suffered their fourth straight defeat in their last Eredivisie match away to Ajax. Rene Eijer’s team has conceded at least four goals in each one of these matches and 18 in total.

Their defensive woes are due largely to the absence of captain and centre-back Wessel Dammers. He has been out with a season-ending cruciate ligament rupture since midway through Fortuna Sittard’s campaign.

One positive for Fortuna Sittard is their solid home record. Rene Eijer’s men have collected 18 points from 12 home matches compared to eight from 13 away. They are therefore paying 1.90 for the win on Friday.

FC Emmen Form & Team News


FC Emmen’s form is barely any better than Fortuna Sittard’s. Dick Lukkien’s men did however pick up their first point in four Eredivisie matches with a 1-1 draw at home to Heracles. Sven Braken’s late equaliser salvaged a point for Emmen.

Five out of Emmen’s last eight matches have seen over 3.5 goals and they have defensive issues of their own. Right-back Gersom Klok has spent a month sidelined through injury.

Emmen have a respectable away record with 14 points on the road from 12 matches. The visitors are paying for the win 3.75 if you back them to pick up their fifth away victory of the Eredivisie season. 

fce ned
FC Emmen are fighting for survival in their first season after gaining promotion to the Eredivisie. (Getty Images)

Fortuna Sittard vs Emmen Head-to-Head


The reverse fixture in October ended in a 3-3 draw. Emmen scored through Jafar Arias and Alexander Bannink after a Wessel Dammers own goal. Fortuna Sittard salvaged a point thanks to goals from Lisandro Semedo, Finn Stokkers and Jose Rodriguez Martinez.

This was their first clash since both teams earned promotion to the Eredivisie last season.

Fortuna Sittard vs Emmen Match Up


Fortuna Sittard have the worst defensive record in the Eredivisie with 60 goals conceded. Only they and NAC Breda have shipped more than Emmen (57). Both teams will need to tighten up as the survival race enters its decisive stretch.

Fortuna Sittard vs Emmen Key Statistics


  • Fortuna Sittard have conceded 4+ goals in all of their last 4 matches (Eredivisie).
  • Fortuna Sittard have seen over 3.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches in all competitions.
  • Fortuna Sittard have seen over 4.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 matches (all competitions).
  • Fortuna Sittard have seen over 3.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 home matches vs Emmen (all competitions).
  • Emmen have seen over 3.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 away matches (Eredivisie).
  • Emmen and Fortuna Sittard drew their last Eredivisie match 3-3.

Verdict


Both teams have serious problems at the back which shows no signs of letting up. There are is likely to be action at both ends and I am backing over 3.5 goals at 2.20. 

There is value in betting on a draw between two evenly-matched sides at 3.60, with a 2-2 correct score prediction paying 11.00.

Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.20 at bet365 - 4 Units
Value Bet: Draw @ 3.60 at bet365 - 3 Units
Correct Score Tip: 2-2 Draw @ 11.00 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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Leonard Solms 13 March 2019

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