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Fortuna Sittard vs VVV Venlo - High scoring match expected in Sittard

Defensive frailties should see a shootout in the southern derby
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Fortuna Sittard vs VVV Venlo Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


A goal fest is expected as Fortuna Sittard host VVV Venlo in the Eredivisie. Over 3.5 and 4.5 goals are my tips at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Venlo’s Ralf Seuntjens predicted to continue his incredible record against Fortuna in the goalscorer markets.

Fortuna Sittard Form & Team News 


Fortuna Sittard are on a bad run of form and in real danger of getting sucked into the relegation zone. They lost 5-0 at PEC Zwolle on Sunday and were never in the contest.

Central defender Branislav Ninaj was sent off in the first half with René Eijer’s side trailing 1-0 at half-time. Conceding four goals in 14 minutes is never ideal and it resulted in another heavy defeat after a 4-0 loss at Ajax, 4-2 defeat at AZ Alkmaar and 6-0 thrashing at Heracles.

This all came after captain and centre-back Wessell Dammers suffered a season ending injury in January. Ninaj’s suspension is partly offset by José Rodríguez returning from suspension, the Spaniard should slot into the heart of defence alongside Kai Heerings.

Fortuna have had a player sent off in their last three matches and are valued at 2.45 to beat Venlo. This lack of discipline makes it a risky proposition with a draw similarly priced at 3.50.

VVV Venlo Form & Team News


Venlo are not faring much better than Fortuna having won just once in their last eight Eredivisie matches. A 6-2 home defeat against Utrecht was followed by a 3-0 home defeat against Feyenoord.

Maurice Steijn’s side were wasteful in attack against Feyenoord with top scorers Peniel Mlapa and Patrick Joosten spurning a number of opportunities in front of goal. Centre-back Jerold Promes recently suffered a season ending knee injury and is the only absentee.

Attacking midfielder Ralf Seuntjens came off the bench against Feyenoord and should start here. The 29-year-old has scored 10 goals in his last seven matches against Fortuna including four goals in two matches whilst playing for SC Telstar.

Venlo have an impressive record against Fortuna, winning 15 of their 23 encounters. Bookmakers have priced them at 2.80 to record their third straight win against their southern rivals.  

Maurice Steijn
VVV Venlo manager Maurice Steijn will be desperate to stop his team shiping goals (Getty Images)

Fortuna Sittard vs VVV Venlo Head-to-Head


VVV Venlo have dominated this fixture with a 15-2 advantage over Fortuna Sittard and six draws. Venlo won the first match 3-2 this season at the Covebo Stadion with Ralf Seuntiens scoring and Peniel Mlapa bagging a brace for the hosts.

These clubs have seen a number of high scoring games in recent seasons, four of the last five matches resulting in over 4.5 goals.

Fortuna Sittard vs VVV Venlo Match Up


Fortuna and Venlo have shown that defending is not one of their strong suits this season. Injuries and suspensions have resulted in a number of matches where they concede goals at an alarming rate.

Fortuna have the worst defence in the Eredivisie with 69 goals shipped in 29 matches. Venlo have conceded nine goals in their last two matches which is a worrying sign for the southerners.

Fortuna Sittard vs VVV Venlo Key Statistics


  • Fortuna Sittard have seen over 3.5 goals in 11 of their last 13 matches (all competitions).
  • Fortuna Sittard have seen over 4.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches (Eredivisie).
  • VVV Venlo’s Ralf Seuntjens has scored 10 goals in his last 7 matches against Fortuna Sittard.
  • VVV Venlo have seen over 4.5 goals in 5 of their last 8 Eredivisie matches.
  • VVV Venlo have seen over 4.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches against Fortuna Sittard (all competitions).
  • VVV Venlo have conceded 9 goals in their last 2 Eredivisie matches.

Verdict


Fortuna Sittard and VVV Venlo regularly struggle defensively and I am expecting a high scoring match here. Over 3.5 and 4.5 goals are on my bet slip alongside Venlo’s Ralf Seuntjens.

Seuntjens has an incredible record against Fortuna, and deserves to be backed in the goalscorer markets at healthy odds.

Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.25 at bet365 - 5 Units
Value Bet: Over 4.5 Goals @ 4.00 at bet365 - 2 Units
Anytime Goalscorer Tip: Ralf Seuntjens @ 4.10 at unibet - 2 Units
First Goalscorer Tip: Ralf Seuntjens @ 10.00 at unibet - 1 Unit
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