PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Almelo - PSV to hammer Heracles at home

Leonard Solms

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Last updated: 17 Oct 2019

Leonard Solms 17 Oct 2019

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Fine Philips Stadion form to continue for hosts

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PSV Eindhoven are backed in the -2 handicap market for the Eredivisie match against Heracles Almelo. (Getty Images)

PSV Eindhoven are backed to continue their amazing home form in the Eredivisie match against Heracles Almelo. (Getty Images)

PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Almelo Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips

PSV Eindhoven are on the brink of losing their Eredivisie title to Ajax but their recent home record suggests they will not go down without a fight. Mark van Bommel’s team is tipped in the -2 handicap market against Heracles at 2.40.

PSV Eindhoven Form & Team News

PSV lost 1-0 away to AZ Alkmaar in their last match and now sit three points behind Ajax in the Eredivisie with a vastly inferior goal difference. This is unrelated to home form as Mark van Bommel’s men have 15 wins and one draw from 16 Eredivisie matches at the Philips Stadion this season.

The last time PSV lost at home in the league was in 2016 and they are 47 unbeaten with 42 wins at the Philips Stadion since. 13 of their last 21 home Eredivisie matches have been won by three or more goals.

PSV Eindhoven may be on the back foot in the Eredivisie title race but at least Luuk de Jong is on track to finish as top league goalscorer. De Jong has 28 Eredivisie goals in 2018/19 including seven in his last seven appearances.

De Jong is likely to be popular in the anytime goalscorer market at 1.40 and the first goalscorer market at 4.10. A PSV win is paying 1.20 because of their incredible home record whilst there is value in the -2 handicap market with the hosts paying paying 2.40.

Luuk de Jong has scored 28 Eredivisie goals this season, more than any other player heading into the final match day. (Getty Images)

Heracles Almelo Form & Team News

Heracles lost their last Eredivisie match 5-4 at home having gone down 2-1 away to AZ Alkmaar in their previous fixture.

Frank Wormuth’s men are seventh in the Eredivisie but only 12th on the away table. Heracles have scored 42 goals at home compared to only 18 on the road and their defence has been consistently leaky with 65 league goals conceded altogether.

Adrian Dalmau has been Heracles’ main attacking threat in 2018/19 and is paying 3.75 in the anytime goalscorer market. Heracles are underdogs however and are paying big odds of 17.00 for the win and 7.50 for the draw.

PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Almelo Head to Head

PSV Eindhoven have won 24 of 29 matches against Heracles dating back to 2005/06, drawing four and losing just one.

Their most recent meeting saw Mark van Bommel’s men win 4-0 away in the Eredivisie. Goals came from Steven Bergwijn, Daniel Schwaab, Denzel Dumfries and Gaston Pereiro in a fourth successive win over Heracles for PSV.

PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Almelo Match Up

Luuk de Jong has scored 28 Eredivisie goals for PSV while Steven Bergwijn and Gaston Pereiro have 14 and 10 respectively and were both on target against Heracles last time. Mark van Bommel has no shortage of attacking options for Wednesday’s clash.

Adrian Dalmau has 19 Eredivisie goals this season but only three away from home while Frank Wormuth’s team has conceded 15 more than any other top eight side.

PSV's Steven Bergwijn is another player who has been in great goalscoring form — Steven Bergwijn is another player who has been in great goalscoring form for PSV throughout 2018/19. (Getty Images)

PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Almelo Key Statistics

PSV Eindhoven have won 41 of their last 44 home matches (Eredivisie).
PSV Eindhoven have covered the -2 handicap in 13 of their last 21 home matches (Eredivisie).
PSV won their last match against Heracles Almelo 4-0 away (Eredivisie).
PSV have won their last 4 matches against Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie).
Heracles Almelo are 1-24 in 29 matches against PSV since 2005/06 (all competitions).
Heracles Almelo have lost their last 2 matches (Eredivisie).
Heracles Almelo are 12th on the Eredivisie away table.

Verdict

PSV Eindhoven have won 41 and drawn three of their last 44 home matches and are backed to win big against a team which struggles away. I am tipping PSV in the -2 handicap market at 2.40.

Best Bet: PSV Eindhoven -2 Handicap @ 2.40 at bet365 - 5 Units

Correct Score Tip: PSV Eindhoven Win 3-0 @ 12.00 at bet365 - 1 Unit