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Leeds vs Millwall Predictions & Tips - Whites Handicap in the FA Cup

alex-waite
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Last updated: 06 Feb 2025
Alex Waite 06 Feb 2025
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  • Leeds can cover a -1 handicap against Millwall in the FA Cup
  • The Whites have covered a -1 handicap in 3 consecutive home games
  • Can Daniel Farke’s side keep winning at Elland Road?
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Leeds
Leeds have covered a -1 handicap in 2 of their last 3 against Millwall (Getty)

Leeds vs Millwall Preview


Leeds’ recent home record is impressive and the Whites score a lot and rarely concede. Millwall face a step up in quality compared to recent opponents and a home handicap is predicted.
  • Leeds vs Millwall Preview
  • Stats
  • Head to Head
  • Leeds Form
  • Leeds Injuries & Team News
  • Millwall Form 
  • Millwall Injuries & Team News

Stats


  • Leeds have covered a -1 handicap in 3 consecutive home games.
  • Leeds have covered a -1 handicap in 2 of their last 3 against Millwall. 
  • Leeds have scored 2+ goals in their last 4 at home against Millwall.
  • Millwall have lost 4 of their last 5 games in the FA Cup.
  • Millwall have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 FA Cup matches.

Head to Head


Leeds and Millwall have won 19 games each and drawn five in 43 encounters. The Whites beat Millwall 2-0 in the most recent clash at Elland Road.

Leeds Form


Leeds progressed in the FA Cup after defeating Harrogate 1-0 at Elland Round in round three. The Yorkshire side are unbeaten in six consecutive FA Cup home games, winning four.

Daniel Farke’s team are undefeated in 14 successive matches and have won their last four at home. Leeds’ most recent victory at Elland Road was a commanding 7-0 triumph over Cardiff.

The Whites followed that win with a solid 2-0 victory at Coventry. Farke’s side had 20 shots and Joel Piroe and Jayden Bogle got on the scoresheet.

Leeds Injuries & Team News


Striker Patrick Bamford is unlikely to make the squad due to injury.

Midfielder Joel Piroe has scored three goals in his last two appearances. He has 13 goals and five assists this season. 

Millwall Form 


Millwall beat non-league outfit Dagenham and Redbridge 3-0 in the third round of the FA Cup. That win ended a run of four straight FA Cup defeats, with 10 goals conceded.

The Lions lost 1-0 against Hull and drew 2-2 with Cardiff after their FA Cup victory. They recovered with back-to-back 1-0 wins at Luton and Portsmouth.

Alex Neil’s side also beat QPR 2-1 on Saturday to notch three consecutive wins for the first time since November. Aaron Connoly scored in the first minute, QPR levelled two minutes later and Luke Cundle netted the winner before half time. 

Millwall Injuries & Team News


Defenders Ryan Leonard, Dan McNamara and Calum Scanlon are injured and likely to miss out. 

Midfielder Josh Coburn and attacker Aidomo Emakhu are also sidelined due to injury. 

Striker Mihailo Ivanovic has scored in back-to-back away games and is set to lead the line.

Verdict

Leeds have one of the best home records in English football and can win again against Millwall. The Whites can control this FA Cup clash and cover a -1 handicap at Elland Road.

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