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Ecuador vs Peru Predictions & Tips - Ecuador to get back to winning ways in the World Cup qualifiers

  • Ecuador vs Peru predictions for Tuesday’s World Cup qualifier
  • The match is being played at 10pm BST at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
  • Ecuador have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 World Cup qualifiers at home
  • I am backing over 2.5 goals and Ecuador to win in Quito
  • Preview, predictions, stats, squads & team news
Ecuador Peru World Cup quito
Ecuador host Peru in the World Cup qualifiers on Tuesday (Getty Images)
Eddy Tora 07 Jun 2021
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Ecuador vs Peru Predictions


Ecuador regularly see over 2.5 goals at home in the World Cup qualifiers. I am backing over 2.5 goals with Ecuador to win 3-1 in Quito.

  • Ecuador have won 4 of their last 5 matches (all competitions).
  • Ecuador have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches (World Cup qualifiers).
  • Ecuador have won by 2+ goals in their last 2 home matches (World Cup qualifiers).
  • Ecuador have won 4 of their last 6 home matches against Peru (World Cup qualifiers).
  • Ecuador have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 competitive matches against Peru (all competitions).
  • Peru have lost by 2+ goals in their last 4 matches (World Cup qualifiers).

Head to Head


Peru have a 12-9 advantage against Ecuador with 7 draws in 28 matches.

Ecuador Form


Ecuador lost 1-0 in Argentina in their opening four World Cup qualifier before winning three straight. 

La Tri won 4-2 against Uruguay and 3-2 in Bolivia before a dominant 6-1 home win against Colombia. They were far too strong in Quito with Robert Arboleda, Ángel Mena, Michael Estrada, Xavier Arreaga, Gonzalo Plata and Pervis Estupiñán all on target.

Gustavo Alfaro’s side beat Bolivia 2-1 in a friendly in March with Fidel Martínez and Michael Estrada scoring in Sangolqui.

Ecuador’s last match was a 2-0 defeat in Brazil in the World Cup qualifiers. They struggled to see much ball in Porto Alegre, ending the match with 34% possession and three shots.

Ecuador Squad & Team News


Goalkeepers: Alexander Domínguez, Pedro Ortíz, Hernán Galíndez, Moisés Ramírez
Defenders: Robert Arboleda, Xavier Arreaga, Luis Fernando León, Pervis Estupiñán, Diego Palacios, Mario Pineida, Félix Torres, Piero Hincapié, Ángelo Preciado, Pedro Perlaza
Midfielders: Christian Noboa, Jhegson Méndez, Moisés Caicedo, Dixon Arroyo, Alan Franco, Carlos Gruezo, Ángel Mena, Fidel Martínez, Damián Díaz, Juan Cazares, Gonzalo Plata, Ayrton Preciado, José Carabalí
Forwards: Enner Valencia, Michael Estrada, Jordy Caicedo, Leonardo Campana

Fenerbahce striker Enner Valencia has scored 31 goals in 57 internationals.

Peru Form


Peru have lost their last five matches. They began the World Cup qualifiers with a 2-2 draw in Paraguay, André Carrillo scoring both goals including an 85th minute equaliser.

La Blanquirroja have lost their last four games by 2+ goals. They lost 4-2 at home against Brazil, 2-0 in Chile and 2-0 at home against Argentina.

Ricardo Gareca’s side lost 3-0 at home against Colombia on Friday. Miguel Trauco was sent off in the 45th minute which didn’t help their cause.

Peru Squad & Team News


Goalkeepers: Pedro Gallese, José Carvallo, Carlos Cáceda
Defenders: Luis Advíncula, Christian Ramos, Miguel Trauco, Aldo Corzo, Luis Abram, Miguel Araujo, Anderson Santamaría, Alexander Callens, Marcos López, Renzo Garcés, Jhilmar Lora
Midfielders: Yoshimar Yotún, Christian Cueva, Renato Tapia, Pedro Aquino, Sergio Peña, Alexis Arias, Raziel García, Martín Távara
Forwards: Paolo Guerrero, André Carrillo, Raúl Ruidíaz, Gianluca Lapadula, Luis Iberico, Alex Valera

Left back Miguel Trauco is suspended with Marcos López set to start.

Midfielder Yoshimar Yotún has earned 97 caps. 37-year-old striker Paolo Guerrero has scored 38 goals in 102 internationals.
US

Verdict

Ecuador have a habit of seeing over 2.5 goals at home in the South American World Cup qualifiers. That should continue here with La Tri beating Peru in Quito.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals Total Goals @100.00 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Ecuador & Over 2.5 Win & Total Goals @140.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit
Correct Score Tip: Ecuador Win 3-1 Correct Score @1200.0 at Borgata Sports - 1 Unit

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