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England vs San Marino Predictions & Tips - Handicap to be covered by minnows

  • England vs San Marino predictions for Thursday's World Cup qualifier
  • The match is being played at Wembley Stadium (7.45pm GMT)
  • England have scored 5+ goals in all 6 matches against San Marino
  • San Marino are tipped to win with +7 goal handicap which they have done in 24 of their last 27 matches
  • Match preview, predictions and latest team news
England Harry Kane San Marino
Harry Kane scores in England's most recent victory over San Marino (Getty Images)
Gary Emmerson 24 Mar 2021
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England vs San Marino Predictions


The handicap has been set at -7 for England to cover, but they have only managed that once previously against San Marino in an 8-0 victory. 

San Marino have only been beaten by more than seven goals in three of their last 27 matches, making that an attractive price.

  • England have covered the -7 handicap in 1 of their 6 matches against San Marino (all competitions).
  • San Marino have covered the +7 goal handicap in 24 of their last 27 matches (all competitions).

Head to Head


England have won all six previous matches against San Marino, five of them to nil.

The most recent was a routine 6-0 win in 2015 in a European Championship qualifier.

England Form


England were 4-0 winners over Iceland when last in action in November in the UEFA Nations League.

Gareth Southgate's side were already guaranteed to miss out on qualification for the playoffs, but it was a comprehensive victory thanks to Declan Rice, Mason Mount and two Phil Foden goals.

Back-to-back defeats in Group I had sealed England's fate.

They lost 1-0 at home to eventual group runners-up Denmark were beaten 2-0 in Belgium as the Red Devils topped the group.

England Team News


Teenager midfielder Jude Bellingham will be available after a change in the covid regulations allowed the Borussia Dortmund star to join up with the England squad.

Man City centre-back John Stones and on-loan West Ham midfielder Jesse Lingard have earned recalls, while their is a first call-up for West Brom goalkeeper Sam Johnstone and Aston Villa forward Ollie Watkins.

Liverpool full-back Trent Alexander-Arnold has been left out, and Manchester United forward Marcus Rashford is a doubt for Thursday's clash. 

Goalkeeper Jordan Pickford, midfielders Jordan Henderson and Jack Grealish and forwards Jordan Sancho are ruled out with injury.

England Squad


Goalkeepers: Dean Henderson, Sam Johnstone, Nick Pope
Defenders: Ben Chilwell, Conor Coady, Eric Dier, Reece James, Harry Maguire, Tyrone Mings, Luke Shaw, John Stones, Kieran Trippier, Kyle Walker
Midfielders: Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden, Jesse Lingard, Mason Mount, Kalvin Phillips, Declan Rice, James Ward-Prowse
Forwards: Dominic Calvert-Lewin,  Harry Kane, Marcus Rashford, Bukayo Saka, Raheem Sterling, Ollie Watkins

San Marino Form


San Marino have drawn two of their last three matches courtesy of 0-0 draws with Leichtenstein and Gibraltar during the UEFA Nations League.

A 3-0 defeat at home to Latvia is sandwiched in between in a friendly.

Prior to drawing with Leichtenstein in October last year, San Marino had lost 40 games in a row.

They have scored just four times in the last 43 matches.

San Marino Team News


San Marino's problems are clear with no member of the scoring having scored more than one international goal.

Veteran striker Matteo Vitaioli is among them with his one goal coming from 62 international caps. 

First choice goalkeeper Elia Benedettini plays in Italy's Serie C with Cesena and will be in for a busy night.

San Marino Squad


Goalkeepers: Elia Benedettini, Simone Benedettini, Alex Stimac, Matteo Zavoli
Defenders: Davide Simoncini, Mirko Palazzi, Cristian Brolli, Manuel Battistini, Andrea Grandoni, Marcello Mularoni, Alessandro D'Addario, Dante Rossi
Midfielders: Michele Cervellini, Enrico Golinucci, Alessandro Golinucci, Fabio Tomassini, Lorenzo Lunadei, Mattia Giardi, Michael Battistini, Tommaso Zafferani, Luca Ceccaroli, Kevin Zonzini, Luca Nanni
Forwards: Matteo Vitaioli, Adolfo Hirsch, Filippo Berardi, Nicola Nanni, Marco Bernardi

England vs San Marino FAQs

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Verdict

While England will win this comfortably and make the perfect start to their World Cup qualifying campaign, overcoming a -7 handicap might be beyond them.

Best Bet: San Marino +7 Handicap @120.00 at BetMGM - 2 Units

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