Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Predictions & Tips - Atletico to Build First-Leg Advantage

Ryan Allan

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Last updated: 02 Oct 2024

Ryan Allan 02 Oct 2024

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Get our Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama tips in the Copa do Brasil
Vasco da Gama failed to win their last four matches
Who will claim a first-leg advantage at the Arena MRV?

Expired

Atletico Mineiro in search of a third successive home win on Thursday (Getty Images)

Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Predictions
Head to Head
Atletico Mineiro Form
Atletico Mineiro Team News
Vasco da Gama Form
Vasco da Gama Team News

Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Predictions

While Vasco are no pushovers, Atletico Mineiro should have enough quality to extend their winning run in Belo Horizonte.

A home win is my only choice for Thursday's Copa do Brasil semi-final first-leg.

Atletico Mineiro won 7 of their last 10 home matches
Atletico Mineiro won 12 of their last 13 home matches (Copa do Brasil)
Vasco da Gama lost 2 of their last 3 away matches against Atletico Mineiro
Vasco da Gama lost 10 of their last 18 away matches (all competitions)

Head to Head

Atletico Mineiro and Vasco da Gama have met on 34 previous occasions since the turn of the century. Vasco hold a narrow 14-13 HDH advantage with only seven games finishing deadlocked.

Thursday's hosts claimed a 2-0 win when these sides last met at this venue in July.

Atletico Mineiro Form

Atletico Mineiro face their fourth fixture in 11 days following a 2-1 loss at Palmeiras in Serie A on Saturday. A pair of penalties from Raphael Veiga condemned MG to their third successive away defeat.

The Galo Alvinegro had picked up back-to-back home victories against RB Bragantino (3-0) and Fluminense (2-0) before their setback over the weekend.

Gabriel Milito's side have enjoyed plenty of success at the Arena MRV in recent weeks. Atletico won seven and lost just one of their last ten home fixtures.

Atletico Mineiro Team News

Head coach Milito has a lengthy list of absentees coming into Thursday's Copa do Brasil contest. Bernard, Lyanco, Paulinho, Otávio, Matias Zaracho and Alisson are all tipped to remain sidelined for the home side.

Milito could make some changes to the selection that slipped up at Palmeiras. Chilean forward Eduardo Vargas and Brazilian defender Guilherme Arana are among those pushing for a recall to the first XI.

Vasco da Gama Form

Vasco da Gama come into Thursday's Copa do Brasil contest now winless in four matches after a 1-1 draw at Cruzeiro on Sunday. Pablo Vegetti's first-half strike helped secure a Serie A point for the Bacalhau D'água Doce há.

An improved run of results has seen Vasco remain unbeaten in ten of their last 12 matches since the start of August.

Rafael Paiva's side secured their place in the Copa do Brasil semi-finals with a penalty shootout victory against Athletico Paranaense last month.

Vasco da Gama Team News

Head coach Paiva Vasco remains unable to call on four long-term injury absentees. Paulinho Paula, Guilherme Estrella, David and Adson are all ruled out for the visitors.

Rayan also misses out following his dismissal in the quarter-final victory against Athletico Paranaense.

Verdict

Atletico Mineiro v Vasco da Gama

Atletico can edge to victory in a keenly contested cup clash on Thursday.

I'm backing the hosts to claim a first-leg advantage at Arena MRV.

Atletico Mineiro Win

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