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Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Mainz - Exciting match expected with over 2.5 goals the tip

Last updated: 13 Sep 2019
Mat Marshall 13 Sep 2019
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This match could go either way which means a draw offers value
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Mainz Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips
Dusseldorf manager Friedhelm Funkel expected to continue his attacking approach vs Mainz (Getty Images)

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Mainz Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips

Fortuna Dusseldorf are showing signs of life as they attempt to climb out of the relegation zone in the Bundesliga. Mainz travel to the Merkur Spiel-Arena with a point to prove which should result in an open and exciting match with goals expected.

Fortuna Dusseldorf Form & Team News

Fortuna recorded a brilliant 3-3 draw at Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on Saturday which came after a 4-1 home win against Hertha Berlin. Dodi Lukebakio was the star of the show for Dusseldorf with the speedy forward hitting a hat-trick. 

Manager Friedhelm Funkel started the match in Munich with attackers Rouwen Hennings and Marvin Ducksch on the bench. On loan from Watford, 21-year-old Lukebakio has been in good form with five goals in his last four appearances, including two goals in the 5-1 win at Ulm in the German Cup.

With Dusseldorf still in the relegation but showing signs of life, what will Funkel do now? Attack could be the way forward for Fortuna as a defensive approach hasn’t paid dividends thus far.

Midfielder Marcel Sobottka and left-back Diego Contento are still injured and central defender Kaan Ayhan hasn’t featured since the 3-0 away defeat at Borussia Monchengladbach in early November. 

Fortuna Duesseldorf forward Dodi Lukebakio scored a hat-trick against Bayern Munich (Getty Images)

FSV Mainz 05 Form & Team News

The the 05ers were unlucky in a 2-1 home defeat against Bundesliga leader Borussia Dortmund on Saturday. Manager Sandro Schwarz got his tactics spot on, but despite a committed performance Mainz lost the match due to an unstoppable Lukasz Piszczek strike.

Despite the unlucky defeat, Mainz are still comfortably mid table with 15 points after 12 matches. The club continues to do well in the transfer market with new signings Aarón Martín, Moussa Niakhaté, Pierre Kunde, Jean-Philippe Mateta and Jean-Paul Boëtius settling in well.

Robin Quaison got the goal on Saturday and should continue his partnership with Mateta up front. Schwarz selected three central defenders against Dortmund but could revert to a back four here which means Boëtius could come back into the stating XI.

Gerrit Holtmann, Niko Bungert, Ridle Baku, Emil Berggreen, Phillipp Mwene are all injured alongside goalkeepers René Adler and Florian Müller with Robin Zentner to continue in goal. 

Mainz striker Jean-Philippe Mateta will be a big danger vs Fortuna Dusseldorf (Getty Images)

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Mainz Head-to-Head

These clubs haven’t met since the 2012-13 season when Mainz won 1-0 at home before a 1-1 draw in Dusseldorf. All of the previous encounters came in the 2. Bundesliga with little separating Mainz and Fortuna overall.

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Mainz Match Up

Dusseldorf have the second worst defence in the Bundesliga having conceded 28 goals in 12 matches. There have been a total of 25 goals scored in their last five Bundesliga matches.

Mainz have shown an ability to score goals in recent weeks but are also susceptible at the back, failing to keep a clean sheet on the road this season.

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Mainz Key Statistics

  • Fortuna Dusseldorf have seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches in all competitions.
  • Fortuna Dusseldorf have seen over 4.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches (All competitions).
  • Mainz have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 6 matches in all competitions.

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Mainz Verdict

Fortuna Dusseldorf may have realised that the best way to get out of the relegation zone is to attack. The trend for both clubs lean heavily towards over 2.5 goals here which offers good value at 1.87.

It’s too hard to predict a winner which means there is value on a draw with 2-2 the correct score tip.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.87 – 6 Units
Value Bet: Draw @ 3.50 – 3 Units
Correct Score Tip: 2-2 @ 13.00 – 1 Unit

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