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Hoffenheim vs Nurnberg - Visitors woes to continue on the road

mat-marshall
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Last updated: 13 Sep 2019
Mat Marshall 13 Sep 2019
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Hosts have a great chance to record a convincing victory
Expired
Ishak Belfodil celebrate
Hoffenheim can get back to winning ways vs Nurnberg (Getty Images)

Hoffenheim vs Nurnberg Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


Hoffenheim are predicted to get back to winning ways in the Bundesliga. A home match against Nurnberg is the perfect opportunity to get back on track for a late season surge.

Ishak Belfodil is in great form and can continue his goalscoring run. The Algerian forward is likely to get plenty of opportunities against a Nurnberg side that have lost seven of their nine away games this campaign.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form & Team News


Hoffenheim threw away points last week after a 3-2 defeat at Eintracht Frankfurt. Leading 2-1 in the 65th minute through goals to Joelinton and Ishak Belfodil,they were reduced to 10 men after Kasim Adams was sent off.

Julian Nagelsmann’s side conceded in the 89th and 95th minutes. It was another missed opportunity for Hoffenheim who sit five points behind sixth spot which will guarantee Europa League football next season.

The defensive problems saw Florian Grillitsch fill in at the back with Kevin Vogt, Benjamin Hübner, Ermin Bicakcic all out. Adams’ suspension is offset with Pavel Kaderábek returning from suspension and Vogt likely to start. 

The hosts are short at odds of 1.30 to win, but they recently beat relegation threatened Hannover 3-0 at home and I expect a similar result on Sunday which is paying 9.50 in the correct score market. 

Joelinton
Hoffenheim's Joelinton has been a revelation this season (Getty Images)

FC Nürnberg Form & Team News


Nurnberg look like certain relegation after failing to win a Bundesliga match since September. In the 18 matches since, the Club have lost 13 with five draws. 

The latest was a 1-0 defeat against Leipzig with Hanno Behrens hitting a penalty against the woodwork. Boris Schommers’ side managed just one shot on target throughout the match.

Georg Margreitter, Kevin Goden, Adam Zrelák, Simon Rhein and Matheus Pereira all missed out through injury and suspension. Where does Schommers turn to? Mikael Ishak and Hanno Behrens are his top scorers this season with three goals each.

Nurnberg have failed to score in four of their last five games and lost 15 of their last 17 away matches in the Bundesliga. The odds on a draw are 6.25 and a Nurnberg to win is paying 12.00.

Hoffenheim vs Nurnberg Head-to-Head


Hoffenheim have a 6-3 record against Nurnberg with three draws and won the last two convincingly. A 3-1 win in Nurnberg saw Hanno Behrens’ early penalty overcome with a Reiss Nelson double and Ádám Szalai goal.

The visitors had 71% possession and won the shots on target count 12-2. 

Reiss Nelson
Hoffenheim's Reiss Nelson scored twice in the 3-1 win at Nurnberg in October (Getty Images)

Hoffenheim vs Nurnberg Match Up


Hoffenheim Nadiem Amiri Two of Hoffenheim’s best players this season in Andrej Kramaric and Kerem Demirbay Joelinton and Ishak Belfodil

Hannover can’t be trusted despite registering a 2-0 win against Nürnberg last time out. The Reds have been terrible on the road and have a woeful record at Hoffenheim.

Hoffenheim vs Nurnberg Key Statistics


  • Hoffenheim won their last Bundesliga home match 3-0 against Hannover.
  • Hoffenheim had 71% possession in the 3-1 win at Nurnberg, winning the shots on target 12-2. 
  • Hoffenheim’s Ishak Belfodil has scored 4 goals in his last 4 games.
  • Nurnberg have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches in all competitions.
  • Nurnberg have lost 15 of their last 17 away matches (Bundesliga).
  • Nurnberg have conceded 2+ goals in their last 9 Bundesliga away matches.

Verdict


Hoffenheim beat Hannover 3-0 and Nurnberg are just as bad. I expect a comfortable home win and Ishak Belfodil to continue to score. 

Best Bet: Hoffenheim -1 Handicap @ 1.74 at bet365 - 4 Units
Score & Win: Ishak Belfodil & Hoffenheim @ 2.63 at bet365 - 4 Units
First Goalscorer Tip: Ishak Belfodil @ 6.00 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Correct Score Tip: Hoffenheim Win 3-0 @ 9.50 at bet365 - 1 Unit

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