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Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen - Tight battle expected in European chase

Hoffenheim’s shaky defence is a concern with Bremen in town
Hoffenheim Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen expected to be a tight Bundesliga encounter (Getty Images)
Mat Marshall 13 Sep 2019
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Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


Hoffenheim have hit a rough patch and have a poor record against Werder Bremen. Bookmakers favour the hosts at the PreZero Arena but Werder Bremen are undefeated in eight of their last 10 away matches in all competitions. 

I think there is value on a draw here at 5.00 which has occurred in four of their last six Bundesliga matches between these clubs.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form & Team News


Hoffenheim’s UEFA Champions League ambitions have taken a hit in recent weeks. A 4-1 home defeat against Wolfsburg was followed by a 2-2 draw at Borussia Monchengladbach. 

Pavel Kaderábek headed Hoffenheim into the lead and substitute Nadiem Amiri made it 2-1 in the 79th minute, but sloppy defence cost Julian Nagelsmann’s side all three points.

Die Kraichgauer are one point behind Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg who currently occupy the UEFA Europa League spots. They hosts have to beat Werder and are favourites with bookmakers at 1.45.

I am going to lay Hoffenheim as their defence has been suspect, especially in the recent 4-1 home defeat against Wolfsburg. Central defenders Stefan Posch is suspended and Benjamin Hübner is injured alongside striker Joelinton.

Julian Nagelsmann
Julian Nagelsmann's Hoffenheim have had trouble keeping clean sheets in the Bundesliga (Getty Images)

SV Werder Bremen Form & Team News


The Green-Whites have hit some poor form at the wrong time of the season with their UEFA Europa League ambitions almost over. Florian Kohfeldt’s side have to win in Hoffenheim and hope other results go their way to have anything to play for on the final Matchday.

Two defeats against Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga and German Cup was followed by a 4-1 away loss at Fortuna Düsseldorf. Werder Bremen were down 2-0 at half time against Borussia Dortmund but rallied back at home to draw 2-2 courtesy of substitutes Kevin Möhwald and Claudio Pizarro.

Yuya Osako’s position could be under threat after struggling against Dortmund. Central midfielders Davy Klaassen is suspended and Philipp Bargfrede is injured alongside right-back Theodor Gebre Selassie.

Werder Bremen are paying 5.75 to secure an away win and 5.00 to claim a draw. I am backing a draw here as despite their recent results, Bremen are undefeated in eight of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.

Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Head to Head


Werder Bremen have a 11-3 advantage over Hoffenheim with nine draws since 2008. Four of the last six encounters have been 1-1 draws including a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture.

Leonardo Bittencourt put Hoffenheim 1-0 up at the Weser Stadion before Theodor Gebre Selassie equalised for Werder Bremen.

Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Match Up


Hoffenheim’s defence has been their problem all season long and hurt them in the 2-2 draw at Borussia Monchengladbach. With Stefan Posch and Benjamin Hübner both out, they could struggle again at the back.

Werder Bremen have the weapons to hurt Hoffenheim, in particular attackers Milot Rashica and Max Kruse. Lethal on the counter attack, they will fancy their chances of pulling off an upset.

Rashica Kruse
Werder Bremen's Milot Rashica and Max Kruse have the ability to hurt Hoffenheim (Getty Images)

Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Key Statistics


  • Hoffenheim are undefeated in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches.
  • Hoffenheim have drawn 4 of their last 6 matches against Werder Bremen (Bundesliga).
  • Werder Bremen are undefeated in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
  • Werder Bremen have drawn 4 of their last 7 away matches 1-1 (Bundesliga).

Verdict


Hoffenheim’s shaky defence means I am fading the hosts at 1.45. The value is on the draw here at 5.00 with a 1-1 correct score occurring in four of the last six games between these clubs. 

Best Bet: Draw @ 5.00 at bet365 - 2 Units
Correct Score Tip: 1-1 Draw @ 12.00 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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