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Paderborn vs Bayern Munich - FC Bayern ready to crush Bundesliga relegation candidates

eddy-tora
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Last updated: 30 Sep 2019
Eddy Tora 30 Sep 2019
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Bayern Munich have scored 5+ goals in 3 matches in Paderborn
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bayern munich
Bayern Munich's Robert Lewandowski will be licking his lips at the prospect of facing Paderborn (Getty Images)

Paderborn vs Bayern Munich Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


Bayern Munich are heavy favourites to beat Paderborn at the Benteler-Arena. The Bundesliga champions have been far too good for Paderborn in previous encounters and another heavy victory is predicted.

SC Paderborn 07 Form & Team News


Paderborn have been brave in their return to the Bundesliga but it’s increasingly looking like a swift relegation awaits. They have lost four and drawn one of their opening five matches and currently sit bottom of the league.

Paderborn lost 5-1 at home against Schalke before a 2-1 defeat at Hertha Berlin. Steffen Baumgart’s side were allowed the majority of possession, shots and corners but couldn’t equalise after Ben Zolinski’s goal got them within touching distance.

Baumgart has been consistent with his team selections but must be contemplating some defensive or formation changes. His hands are tied with a weak squad at his disposal but central defender Sebastian Schonlau is getting closer to a return as he makes his way back to full fitness.

Paderborn have lost seven of their last eight Bundesliga matches and all four matches against Bayern Munich. Every defeat has been by 4+ goals as they have conceded 21 goals and scored once in those four defeats. That’s one of the reasons bookmakers have Paderborn priced at 15.00 to win and 9.00 to claim a draw.

FC Bayern Munich Form & Team News


Bayern Munich are playing some fine football after integrating new signings Benjamin Pavard, Lucas Hernandez, Philippe Coutinho and Ivan Perisic. All four started in the most recent victory, a 4-0 home win against Köln with Robert Lewandowski bagging a brace and further goals to Coutinho and Perisic.

The Bavarians played against 10 men for the final 30 minutes but it would have hardly mattered. Niko Kovac’s side hit the woodwork twice and the result could easily have been by a bigger margin.

bayern munich Perisic Coutinho
Bayern Munich beat Koln 4-0 on Saturday with Ivan Perisic and Philippe Coutinho scoring goals (Getty Images)

Kovac could make some changes here with a trip to Tottenham coming up in the UEFA Champions League. Javi Martínez, Michaël Cuisance, Thiago Alcantara, Alphonso Davies, Kingsley Coman and Thomas Müller will all fancy their chances of getting a start.

David Alaba and Leon Goretzka are injured and the only players missing for Bayern Munich as they aim to win their eighth straight Bundesliga title. FC Bayern have crushed Paderborn in all four meetings which is why they are paying a minimal 1.13 to win.

Bayern Munich have won by 3+ goals in three of their last four Bundesliga matches
and scored 5+ goals in their three away matches against Paderborn. FC Bayern can be backed at 1.83 in the -2 handicap market and 2.87 in the -3 handicap at bet365 which are both on my betslip.

Paderborn vs Bayern Munich Head to Head


Bayern Munich have a 4-0 record against Paderborn and it’s never been close. The Bavarians have won 5-1, 4-0, 6-0 and 6-0 with the latest 6-0 thrashing in the 2017/18 German Cup in Paderborn with Kingsley Coman, Robert Lewandowski, Joshua Kimmich, Corentin Tolisso and Arjen Robben (2) securing victory.

Paderborn vs Bayern Munich Match Up


Paderborn have been trying to take teams on in the Bundesliga but have only one point in five games to show for it. Steffen Baumgart is unlikely to change his approach here which could spell trouble against Bayern Munich.

The Bavarians are likely to be far too strong despite making changes ahead of their Champions League tie. They have annihilated Paderborn in all four meetings and Robert Lewandowski has scored four goals in three matches against Paderborn.

bayern paderborn
Robert Lewandowski has scored 4 goals in 3 matches for Bayern Munich vs Paderborn (Getty Images)

Paderborn vs Bayern Munich Key Statistics


  • Paderborn have lost 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches.
  • Paderborn have lost their last 4 matches against Bayern Munich in all competitions.
  • Paderborn have conceded 21 goals and scored 1 in their last 4 matches against Bayern Munich (all competitions).
  • Paderborn’s squad is valued at €25 million.
  • Bayern Munich’s squad is valued at €867 million.
  • Bayern Munich have scored 5+ goals in their 3 away matches against Paderborn (all competitions).
  • Bayern Munich have won by 3+ goals in 3 of their last 4 Bundesliga matches.

When is Paderborn vs Bayern Munich?

Paderborn vs Bayern Munich kicks off at 15:30 CET on Saturday 28 September.

Where is Paderborn vs Bayern Munich?

Paderborn vs Bayern Munich takes place at the Benteler-Arena in Paderborn, Germany.

Where can I watch Paderborn vs Bayern Munich live streaming?

Watch Paderborn vs Bayern Munich with bet365 live streaming

Have Paderborn ever beaten Bayern Munich?

No, Paderborn have lost all four matches against Bayern Munich, conceding 21 goals and scoring once.

Verdict

Bayern Munich should have far too much class for Paderborn and I think there is value in the -2 handicap market. A 4-0, 5-0 or 6-0 isn’t a big stretch so the -3 handicap is in play.

Best Handicap Tip: Bayern Munich -2 @83/100 at bet365 - 6 Units
Value Handicap Tip: Bayern Munich -3 @187/100 at bet365 - 2 Units
Bayern Munich -2
@83/100 - 6 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365
Bayern Munich -3
@187/100 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365

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Post bet analysis

Robert Lewandowski's miss from 2 yards set the tone for this one. Could have easily been a 6-1 win to FC Bayern but it's looking like Paderborn's ability to score shouldn't be underestimated.
28 Sep 2019

Paderborn v Bayern Munich